**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s August 14 peak temperature centers on 31–32 °C outcomes, reflecting a tightening balance between lingering summer heat and incoming moisture.** A persistent heatwave, linked to Tropical Storm Dolphin and very-hot-weather warnings, has driven recent daily maxima near or above 34 °C, yet official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble models point to increasing thundery showers by mid-week that should cap afternoon temperatures. Subtropical monsoon flow, high boundary-layer humidity, and urban heat-island effects typically add 1–2 °C to coastal readings, while cloud cover and rainfall reduce solar heating and limit convective intensification. Historical August climatology shows a 32 °C mean maximum, but the current pattern’s steering flow and timing of shower onset introduce enough forecast spread to keep 30 °C and 33 °C probabilities live. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing on shower coverage will be the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?
31°C 38%
32°C 28%
30°C 16%
33°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 14, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
16%
31°C
38%
32°C
28%
33°C
8%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 38%
32°C 28%
30°C 16%
33°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 14, 2026
26°C or below
$300 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$254 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$367 Vol.
1%
29°C
$694 Vol.
7%
30°C
$723 Vol.
16%
31°C
$838 Vol.
38%
32°C
$1,491 Vol.
28%
33°C
$195 Vol.
8%
34°C
$244 Vol.
4%
35°C
$202 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$261 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s August 14 peak temperature centers on 31–32 °C outcomes, reflecting a tightening balance between lingering summer heat and incoming moisture.** A persistent heatwave, linked to Tropical Storm Dolphin and very-hot-weather warnings, has driven recent daily maxima near or above 34 °C, yet official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble models point to increasing thundery showers by mid-week that should cap afternoon temperatures. Subtropical monsoon flow, high boundary-layer humidity, and urban heat-island effects typically add 1–2 °C to coastal readings, while cloud cover and rainfall reduce solar heating and limit convective intensification. Historical August climatology shows a 32 °C mean maximum, but the current pattern’s steering flow and timing of shower onset introduce enough forecast spread to keep 30 °C and 33 °C probabilities live. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing on shower coverage will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$5,570Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s August 14 peak temperature centers on 31–32 °C outcomes, reflecting a tightening balance between lingering summer heat and incoming moisture.** A persistent heatwave, linked to Tropical Storm Dolphin and very-hot-weather warnings, has driven recent daily maxima near or above 34 °C, yet official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble models point to increasing thundery showers by mid-week that should cap afternoon temperatures. Subtropical monsoon flow, high boundary-layer humidity, and urban heat-island effects typically add 1–2 °C to coastal readings, while cloud cover and rainfall reduce solar heating and limit convective intensification. Historical August climatology shows a 32 °C mean maximum, but the current pattern’s steering flow and timing of shower onset introduce enough forecast spread to keep 30 °C and 33 °C probabilities live. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing on shower coverage will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,570Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s August 14 peak temperature centers on 31–32 °C outcomes, reflecting a tightening balance between lingering summer heat and incoming moisture.** A persistent heatwave, linked to Tropical Storm Dolphin and very-hot-weather warnings, has driven recent daily maxima near or above 34 °C, yet official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble models point to increasing thundery showers by mid-week that should cap afternoon temperatures. Subtropical monsoon flow, high boundary-layer humidity, and urban heat-island effects typically add 1–2 °C to coastal readings, while cloud cover and rainfall reduce solar heating and limit convective intensification. Historical August climatology shows a 32 °C mean maximum, but the current pattern’s steering flow and timing of shower onset introduce enough forecast spread to keep 30 °C and 33 °C probabilities live. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing on shower coverage will be the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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