Forecast models for Shenzhen indicate a typical subtropical summer pattern with highs potentially peaking near 34–35°C on August 12, tempered by high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and afternoon convection that limit solar heating. Recent runs show variable cloud cover and possible rain, which historically caps daily maxima below clear-sky potential, while urban heat island effects and weak steering winds keep conditions close to seasonal averages of 32°C. The near-even market split between 34°C and 35°C reflects uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity from official guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to 33°C or below if skies clear more than expected or to 36°C+ absent significant cooling. Updated forecasts ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 12?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 12?
34°C 30%
35°C 29%
33°C 18%
36°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 12, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
5%
33°C
18%
34°C
30%
35°C
29%
36°C
12%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 30%
35°C 29%
33°C 18%
36°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 12, 2026
28°C or below
$12 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$12 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$12 Vol.
1%
31°C
$5 Vol.
7%
32°C
$0 Vol.
5%
33°C
$3 Vol.
18%
34°C
$15 Vol.
30%
35°C
$0 Vol.
29%
36°C
$2 Vol.
12%
37°C
$82 Vol.
2%
38°C or higher
$198 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Shenzhen indicate a typical subtropical summer pattern with highs potentially peaking near 34–35°C on August 12, tempered by high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and afternoon convection that limit solar heating. Recent runs show variable cloud cover and possible rain, which historically caps daily maxima below clear-sky potential, while urban heat island effects and weak steering winds keep conditions close to seasonal averages of 32°C. The near-even market split between 34°C and 35°C reflects uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity from official guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to 33°C or below if skies clear more than expected or to 36°C+ absent significant cooling. Updated forecasts ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$342Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Shenzhen indicate a typical subtropical summer pattern with highs potentially peaking near 34–35°C on August 12, tempered by high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and afternoon convection that limit solar heating. Recent runs show variable cloud cover and possible rain, which historically caps daily maxima below clear-sky potential, while urban heat island effects and weak steering winds keep conditions close to seasonal averages of 32°C. The near-even market split between 34°C and 35°C reflects uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity from official guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to 33°C or below if skies clear more than expected or to 36°C+ absent significant cooling. Updated forecasts ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$342Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Shenzhen indicate a typical subtropical summer pattern with highs potentially peaking near 34–35°C on August 12, tempered by high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and afternoon convection that limit solar heating. Recent runs show variable cloud cover and possible rain, which historically caps daily maxima below clear-sky potential, while urban heat island effects and weak steering winds keep conditions close to seasonal averages of 32°C. The near-even market split between 34°C and 35°C reflects uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity from official guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to 33°C or below if skies clear more than expected or to 36°C+ absent significant cooling. Updated forecasts ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan