Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models project a daily maximum near 33°C on August 13 under partly cloudy skies with increasing humidity and showers, moderating temperatures after the record 36.8°C peak on August 9 driven by Typhoon Dolphin subsidence. Climatological August averages hover near 31–32°C, but the ongoing seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal warmth and minimal model spread support trader consensus around 32–33°C as the most likely resolution at the headquarters station. Upcoming daily briefings and any last-minute convective adjustments remain key variables.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 13?
33°C 43%
32°C 33%
34°C 16%
31°C 9%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
33%
33°C
43%
34°C
16%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 43%
32°C 33%
34°C 16%
31°C 9%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
33%
33°C
43%
34°C
16%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models project a daily maximum near 33°C on August 13 under partly cloudy skies with increasing humidity and showers, moderating temperatures after the record 36.8°C peak on August 9 driven by Typhoon Dolphin subsidence. Climatological August averages hover near 31–32°C, but the ongoing seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal warmth and minimal model spread support trader consensus around 32–33°C as the most likely resolution at the headquarters station. Upcoming daily briefings and any last-minute convective adjustments remain key variables.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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