Latest short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate daytime maxima near 34–36°C for August 11 under partly cloudy skies with a chance of isolated thunderstorms. These conditions favor the market’s tight clustering around 35°C (35.5%) and 34°C (29.5%), as convective clouds and brief showers can limit peak solar heating and produce localized cooling. Subtropical summer humidity near 70–80% and urban heat-island effects in Kowloon and Hong Kong Island further influence observed readings at official stations. Traders weigh model consensus against typical August variability, where even modest shifts in timing or coverage of rain can move the daily high by 1–2°C before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?
35°C 36%
34°C 30%
36°C 17%
33°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 11, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
11%
34°C
30%
35°C
36%
36°C
17%
37°C
8%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 36%
34°C 30%
36°C 17%
33°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 11, 2026
30°C or below
$174 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$157 Vol.
1%
32°C
$364 Vol.
1%
33°C
$176 Vol.
11%
34°C
$560 Vol.
30%
35°C
$314 Vol.
36%
36°C
$152 Vol.
17%
37°C
$786 Vol.
8%
38°C
$1,305 Vol.
2%
39°C
$27 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$42 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate daytime maxima near 34–36°C for August 11 under partly cloudy skies with a chance of isolated thunderstorms. These conditions favor the market’s tight clustering around 35°C (35.5%) and 34°C (29.5%), as convective clouds and brief showers can limit peak solar heating and produce localized cooling. Subtropical summer humidity near 70–80% and urban heat-island effects in Kowloon and Hong Kong Island further influence observed readings at official stations. Traders weigh model consensus against typical August variability, where even modest shifts in timing or coverage of rain can move the daily high by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$4,056Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate daytime maxima near 34–36°C for August 11 under partly cloudy skies with a chance of isolated thunderstorms. These conditions favor the market’s tight clustering around 35°C (35.5%) and 34°C (29.5%), as convective clouds and brief showers can limit peak solar heating and produce localized cooling. Subtropical summer humidity near 70–80% and urban heat-island effects in Kowloon and Hong Kong Island further influence observed readings at official stations. Traders weigh model consensus against typical August variability, where even modest shifts in timing or coverage of rain can move the daily high by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,056Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate daytime maxima near 34–36°C for August 11 under partly cloudy skies with a chance of isolated thunderstorms. These conditions favor the market’s tight clustering around 35°C (35.5%) and 34°C (29.5%), as convective clouds and brief showers can limit peak solar heating and produce localized cooling. Subtropical summer humidity near 70–80% and urban heat-island effects in Kowloon and Hong Kong Island further influence observed readings at official stations. Traders weigh model consensus against typical August variability, where even modest shifts in timing or coverage of rain can move the daily high by 1–2°C before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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