Recent Met Office guidance projects a 31°C maximum in London on August 9 under building high pressure and southerly flow advecting warmer continental air, aligning with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 34% implied probability. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and UKV models show tight clustering around 29–32°C, with differentiation hinging on cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind direction rather than large-scale synoptic shifts. Historical August baselines near 22°C and recent above-average warmth provide context, while the 48-hour forecast window leaves limited time for major model revisions before resolution. Traders weigh these variables against the modest spread across 30–32°C bins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on August 9?
Highest temperature in London on August 9?
31°C 35%
30°C 26%
32°C 20%
29°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 9, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
5%
29°C
10%
30°C
26%
31°C
35%
32°C
20%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 35%
30°C 26%
32°C 20%
29°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 9, 2026
26°C or below
$68 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5 Vol.
3%
28°C
$442 Vol.
5%
29°C
$314 Vol.
10%
30°C
$210 Vol.
26%
31°C
$371 Vol.
35%
32°C
$107 Vol.
20%
33°C
$60 Vol.
9%
34°C
$388 Vol.
2%
35°C
$84 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$138 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance projects a 31°C maximum in London on August 9 under building high pressure and southerly flow advecting warmer continental air, aligning with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 34% implied probability. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and UKV models show tight clustering around 29–32°C, with differentiation hinging on cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind direction rather than large-scale synoptic shifts. Historical August baselines near 22°C and recent above-average warmth provide context, while the 48-hour forecast window leaves limited time for major model revisions before resolution. Traders weigh these variables against the modest spread across 30–32°C bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$2,176Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance projects a 31°C maximum in London on August 9 under building high pressure and southerly flow advecting warmer continental air, aligning with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 34% implied probability. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and UKV models show tight clustering around 29–32°C, with differentiation hinging on cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind direction rather than large-scale synoptic shifts. Historical August baselines near 22°C and recent above-average warmth provide context, while the 48-hour forecast window leaves limited time for major model revisions before resolution. Traders weigh these variables against the modest spread across 30–32°C bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,176Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance projects a 31°C maximum in London on August 9 under building high pressure and southerly flow advecting warmer continental air, aligning with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 34% implied probability. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and UKV models show tight clustering around 29–32°C, with differentiation hinging on cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind direction rather than large-scale synoptic shifts. Historical August baselines near 22°C and recent above-average warmth provide context, while the 48-hour forecast window leaves limited time for major model revisions before resolution. Traders weigh these variables against the modest spread across 30–32°C bins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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