**Persistent summer heat in Shanghai is being moderated by an incoming weather system bringing heavy rain and cloud cover around August 9, 2026, keeping the daily minimum temperature most likely in the 27–28°C range according to current forecasts and trader positioning.** Official and extended model guidance from sources like AccuWeather, Time and Date, and regional outlooks show overnight lows typically 25–27°C amid high humidity (75–90%) and substantial rainfall (50+ mm possible), which limits nighttime radiative cooling. Recent days have featured daytime highs of 34–35°C with lows near 28°C under partly cloudy conditions; the approaching moisture and potential thunderstorms are expected to suppress the minimum slightly while preventing sharper drops. Historical August baselines for Shanghai place average lows around 25–26°C, but persistent subtropical ridging and lack of strong cold-air intrusions support the market’s emphasis on 27–28°C outcomes (combined ~81% implied probability). Updated model runs and official briefings closer to the date will be key, as shifts in the steering pattern or rainfall timing could adjust the minimum by 1–2°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 9?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 9?
27°C 61%
28°C 25%
26°C 17%
29°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 9, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
7%
26°C
17%
27°C
43%
28°C
25%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 61%
28°C 25%
26°C 17%
29°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 9, 2026
22°C or below
$27 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$17 Vol.
4%
24°C
$5 Vol.
4%
25°C
$5 Vol.
7%
26°C
$11 Vol.
17%
27°C
$15 Vol.
43%
28°C
$25 Vol.
25%
29°C
$25 Vol.
7%
30°C
$35 Vol.
1%
31°C
$32 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent summer heat in Shanghai is being moderated by an incoming weather system bringing heavy rain and cloud cover around August 9, 2026, keeping the daily minimum temperature most likely in the 27–28°C range according to current forecasts and trader positioning.**
Official and extended model guidance from sources like AccuWeather, Time and Date, and regional outlooks show overnight lows typically 25–27°C amid high humidity (75–90%) and substantial rainfall (50+ mm possible), which limits nighttime radiative cooling. Recent days have featured daytime highs of 34–35°C with lows near 28°C under partly cloudy conditions; the approaching moisture and potential thunderstorms are expected to suppress the minimum slightly while preventing sharper drops.
Historical August baselines for Shanghai place average lows around 25–26°C, but persistent subtropical ridging and lack of strong cold-air intrusions support the market’s emphasis on 27–28°C outcomes (combined ~81% implied probability). Updated model runs and official briefings closer to the date will be key, as shifts in the steering pattern or rainfall timing could adjust the minimum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$200Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent summer heat in Shanghai is being moderated by an incoming weather system bringing heavy rain and cloud cover around August 9, 2026, keeping the daily minimum temperature most likely in the 27–28°C range according to current forecasts and trader positioning.**
Official and extended model guidance from sources like AccuWeather, Time and Date, and regional outlooks show overnight lows typically 25–27°C amid high humidity (75–90%) and substantial rainfall (50+ mm possible), which limits nighttime radiative cooling. Recent days have featured daytime highs of 34–35°C with lows near 28°C under partly cloudy conditions; the approaching moisture and potential thunderstorms are expected to suppress the minimum slightly while preventing sharper drops.
Historical August baselines for Shanghai place average lows around 25–26°C, but persistent subtropical ridging and lack of strong cold-air intrusions support the market’s emphasis on 27–28°C outcomes (combined ~81% implied probability). Updated model runs and official briefings closer to the date will be key, as shifts in the steering pattern or rainfall timing could adjust the minimum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$200Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent summer heat in Shanghai is being moderated by an incoming weather system bringing heavy rain and cloud cover around August 9, 2026, keeping the daily minimum temperature most likely in the 27–28°C range according to current forecasts and trader positioning.** Official and extended model guidance from sources like AccuWeather, Time and Date, and regional outlooks show overnight lows typically 25–27°C amid high humidity (75–90%) and substantial rainfall (50+ mm possible), which limits nighttime radiative cooling. Recent days have featured daytime highs of 34–35°C with lows near 28°C under partly cloudy conditions; the approaching moisture and potential thunderstorms are expected to suppress the minimum slightly while preventing sharper drops. Historical August baselines for Shanghai place average lows around 25–26°C, but persistent subtropical ridging and lack of strong cold-air intrusions support the market’s emphasis on 27–28°C outcomes (combined ~81% implied probability). Updated model runs and official briefings closer to the date will be key, as shifts in the steering pattern or rainfall timing could adjust the minimum by 1–2°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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