Recent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's maximum temperature on August 7 near 25–26 °C, with ensemble members clustered around these values amid a transition to cooler, more typical early-August conditions following recent heat. Model consensus on steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing supports this narrow range, while minor differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and urban heat-island effects create the observed 35.5 % and 34.5 % market-implied probabilities for 26 °C and 25 °C. Updated model runs and official guidance issued before resolution will continue to narrow the spread, reflecting the high confidence typical of 48-hour temperature outlooks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on August 7?
Highest temperature in London on August 7?
25°C 38%
26°C 35%
24°C 15%
27°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 7, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
15%
25°C
38%
26°C
35%
27°C
12%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 38%
26°C 35%
24°C 15%
27°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 7, 2026
22°C or below
$200 Vol.
1%
23°C
$100 Vol.
3%
24°C
$40 Vol.
15%
25°C
$378 Vol.
38%
26°C
$280 Vol.
35%
27°C
$221 Vol.
12%
28°C
$72 Vol.
4%
29°C
$84 Vol.
1%
30°C
$136 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$557 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$557 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's maximum temperature on August 7 near 25–26 °C, with ensemble members clustered around these values amid a transition to cooler, more typical early-August conditions following recent heat. Model consensus on steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing supports this narrow range, while minor differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and urban heat-island effects create the observed 35.5 % and 34.5 % market-implied probabilities for 26 °C and 25 °C. Updated model runs and official guidance issued before resolution will continue to narrow the spread, reflecting the high confidence typical of 48-hour temperature outlooks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$2,625Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's maximum temperature on August 7 near 25–26 °C, with ensemble members clustered around these values amid a transition to cooler, more typical early-August conditions following recent heat. Model consensus on steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing supports this narrow range, while minor differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and urban heat-island effects create the observed 35.5 % and 34.5 % market-implied probabilities for 26 °C and 25 °C. Updated model runs and official guidance issued before resolution will continue to narrow the spread, reflecting the high confidence typical of 48-hour temperature outlooks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,625Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's maximum temperature on August 7 near 25–26 °C, with ensemble members clustered around these values amid a transition to cooler, more typical early-August conditions following recent heat. Model consensus on steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing supports this narrow range, while minor differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and urban heat-island effects create the observed 35.5 % and 34.5 % market-implied probabilities for 26 °C and 25 °C. Updated model runs and official guidance issued before resolution will continue to narrow the spread, reflecting the high confidence typical of 48-hour temperature outlooks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan