Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak temperature in Shenzhen on August 6 most likely between 33–34 °C, supporting the close market-implied odds on those outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers are the key variables that can suppress or allow brief radiative heating to reach those thresholds. Historical August averages near 32 °C and recent daily highs around 31 °C provide context, yet short-range model spread and potential steering influences from regional pressure systems create the narrow gap between the leading brackets. Updated guidance later today will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 6?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 6?
34°C 41%
33°C 34%
32°C 10%
35°C 8.4%
BARU
$50,283 Vol.
BARU
$50,283 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
10%
33°C
34%
34°C
41%
35°C
8%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 41%
33°C 34%
32°C 10%
35°C 8.4%
BARU
$50,283 Vol.
BARU
$50,283 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
28°C or below
$1,435 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,078 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,951 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$6,297 Vol.
3%
32°C
$2,171 Vol.
10%
33°C
$9,790 Vol.
34%
34°C
$4,417 Vol.
41%
35°C
$10,349 Vol.
8%
36°C
$5,376 Vol.
3%
37°C
$1,981 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$3,440 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak temperature in Shenzhen on August 6 most likely between 33–34 °C, supporting the close market-implied odds on those outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers are the key variables that can suppress or allow brief radiative heating to reach those thresholds. Historical August averages near 32 °C and recent daily highs around 31 °C provide context, yet short-range model spread and potential steering influences from regional pressure systems create the narrow gap between the leading brackets. Updated guidance later today will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$50,283Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak temperature in Shenzhen on August 6 most likely between 33–34 °C, supporting the close market-implied odds on those outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers are the key variables that can suppress or allow brief radiative heating to reach those thresholds. Historical August averages near 32 °C and recent daily highs around 31 °C provide context, yet short-range model spread and potential steering influences from regional pressure systems create the narrow gap between the leading brackets. Updated guidance later today will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50,283Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak temperature in Shenzhen on August 6 most likely between 33–34 °C, supporting the close market-implied odds on those outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers are the key variables that can suppress or allow brief radiative heating to reach those thresholds. Historical August averages near 32 °C and recent daily highs around 31 °C provide context, yet short-range model spread and potential steering influences from regional pressure systems create the narrow gap between the leading brackets. Updated guidance later today will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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