**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 5, 2026, heavily favors 34°C or above (combined ~88.5% implied probability) due to official forecasts projecting daytime maxima of 32–36°C (90–96°F).** Multiple meteorological sources, including AccuWeather and timeanddate.com, anticipate partly cloudy to hot conditions with highs near or above 34°C amid typical Sichuan Basin summer patterns of high solar insolation, trapped heat from surrounding mountains, and elevated humidity. National yellow high-temperature alerts across China and recent warm anomalies in the region further support the market-implied odds for the upper end of the distribution. Short-term model consensus points to limited cloud cover early in the day before possible isolated thunderstorms, which could cap extremes but still allow peak readings in the mid-30s Celsius range measured by standard China Meteorological Administration stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 5?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 5?
35°C or higher 63%
34°C 30%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$36,729 Vol.
$36,729 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
26%
35°C or higher
71%
35°C or higher 63%
34°C 30%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$36,729 Vol.
$36,729 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
25°C or below
$409 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$323 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$323 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,851 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,679 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,366 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,485 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$4,056 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$5,204 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$5,102 Vol.
26%
35°C or higher
$11,457 Vol.
71%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 5, 2026, heavily favors 34°C or above (combined ~88.5% implied probability) due to official forecasts projecting daytime maxima of 32–36°C (90–96°F).** Multiple meteorological sources, including AccuWeather and timeanddate.com, anticipate partly cloudy to hot conditions with highs near or above 34°C amid typical Sichuan Basin summer patterns of high solar insolation, trapped heat from surrounding mountains, and elevated humidity. National yellow high-temperature alerts across China and recent warm anomalies in the region further support the market-implied odds for the upper end of the distribution. Short-term model consensus points to limited cloud cover early in the day before possible isolated thunderstorms, which could cap extremes but still allow peak readings in the mid-30s Celsius range measured by standard China Meteorological Administration stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$36,729Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 5, 2026, heavily favors 34°C or above (combined ~88.5% implied probability) due to official forecasts projecting daytime maxima of 32–36°C (90–96°F).** Multiple meteorological sources, including AccuWeather and timeanddate.com, anticipate partly cloudy to hot conditions with highs near or above 34°C amid typical Sichuan Basin summer patterns of high solar insolation, trapped heat from surrounding mountains, and elevated humidity. National yellow high-temperature alerts across China and recent warm anomalies in the region further support the market-implied odds for the upper end of the distribution. Short-term model consensus points to limited cloud cover early in the day before possible isolated thunderstorms, which could cap extremes but still allow peak readings in the mid-30s Celsius range measured by standard China Meteorological Administration stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,729Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 5, 2026, heavily favors 34°C or above (combined ~88.5% implied probability) due to official forecasts projecting daytime maxima of 32–36°C (90–96°F).** Multiple meteorological sources, including AccuWeather and timeanddate.com, anticipate partly cloudy to hot conditions with highs near or above 34°C amid typical Sichuan Basin summer patterns of high solar insolation, trapped heat from surrounding mountains, and elevated humidity. National yellow high-temperature alerts across China and recent warm anomalies in the region further support the market-implied odds for the upper end of the distribution. Short-term model consensus points to limited cloud cover early in the day before possible isolated thunderstorms, which could cap extremes but still allow peak readings in the mid-30s Celsius range measured by standard China Meteorological Administration stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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