Recent official forecasts from Meteo France and European models project a peak temperature of 28–29°C in Paris on August 5 under stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and mostly sunny skies following any early cloud cover. This narrow range explains the near-even market split between those two outcomes, as small variations in daytime insolation, urban heat-island effects, or slight shifts in the thermal ridge could tip the daily maximum either way. Historical August averages near 24–25°C provide context, yet the current pattern reflects warmer-than-normal steering flow. Traders monitor the next model runs and real-time station data for any revision before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on August 5?
29°C 48%
28°C 43%
27°C 7%
30°C 5.5%
$85,114 Vol.
$85,114 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
7%
28°C
43%
29°C
48%
30°C
5%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 48%
28°C 43%
27°C 7%
30°C 5.5%
$85,114 Vol.
$85,114 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
7%
28°C
43%
29°C
48%
30°C
5%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Meteo France and European models project a peak temperature of 28–29°C in Paris on August 5 under stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and mostly sunny skies following any early cloud cover. This narrow range explains the near-even market split between those two outcomes, as small variations in daytime insolation, urban heat-island effects, or slight shifts in the thermal ridge could tip the daily maximum either way. Historical August averages near 24–25°C provide context, yet the current pattern reflects warmer-than-normal steering flow. Traders monitor the next model runs and real-time station data for any revision before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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