Official National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport on August 4, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 90–91°F, aligning with early-August subtropical norms near the long-term average high of 89–91°F. High humidity, light winds, and scattered afternoon convection under partly cloudy skies limited further warming while preventing significant departures from climatological baselines. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 90–91°F bin reflects this alignment with model guidance and real-time station data, with minimal probability assigned to outliers. Unusually clear skies or suppressed convection could have allowed readings above 92°F, though ensemble forecasts assigned low likelihood to such deviations before the maximum was confirmed.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Miami on August 4?
90-91°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$48,642 Vol.
$48,642 Vol.
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
100%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$48,642 Vol.
$48,642 Vol.
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
100%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport on August 4, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 90–91°F, aligning with early-August subtropical norms near the long-term average high of 89–91°F. High humidity, light winds, and scattered afternoon convection under partly cloudy skies limited further warming while preventing significant departures from climatological baselines. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 90–91°F bin reflects this alignment with model guidance and real-time station data, with minimal probability assigned to outliers. Unusually clear skies or suppressed convection could have allowed readings above 92°F, though ensemble forecasts assigned low likelihood to such deviations before the maximum was confirmed.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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