Official temperature measurements from New York City weather stations, including those monitored by the National Weather Service, placed the daily high on August 4 squarely in the 84–85°F range, driving the market's near-certain consensus. Forecast models from NOAA consistently projected this outcome based on regional atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies typical for early August. Historical climatological data for the period further supported expectations around the mid-80s, with minimal deviation from seasonal baselines. While rare instrument calibration issues or microclimate variations could theoretically alter official readings, the alignment of multiple independent stations makes such adjustments highly improbable before final verification.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on August 4?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 4?
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$66,030 Vol.
$66,030 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$66,030 Vol.
$66,030 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
73°F or below
$488 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$513 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$841 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$7,869 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$13,659 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$13,509 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$12,494 Vol.
100%
86-87°F
$7,458 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$4,974 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$3,406 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$819 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature measurements from New York City weather stations, including those monitored by the National Weather Service, placed the daily high on August 4 squarely in the 84–85°F range, driving the market's near-certain consensus. Forecast models from NOAA consistently projected this outcome based on regional atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies typical for early August. Historical climatological data for the period further supported expectations around the mid-80s, with minimal deviation from seasonal baselines. While rare instrument calibration issues or microclimate variations could theoretically alter official readings, the alignment of multiple independent stations makes such adjustments highly improbable before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$66,030Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature measurements from New York City weather stations, including those monitored by the National Weather Service, placed the daily high on August 4 squarely in the 84–85°F range, driving the market's near-certain consensus. Forecast models from NOAA consistently projected this outcome based on regional atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies typical for early August. Historical climatological data for the period further supported expectations around the mid-80s, with minimal deviation from seasonal baselines. While rare instrument calibration issues or microclimate variations could theoretically alter official readings, the alignment of multiple independent stations makes such adjustments highly improbable before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$66,030Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official temperature measurements from New York City weather stations, including those monitored by the National Weather Service, placed the daily high on August 4 squarely in the 84–85°F range, driving the market's near-certain consensus. Forecast models from NOAA consistently projected this outcome based on regional atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies typical for early August. Historical climatological data for the period further supported expectations around the mid-80s, with minimal deviation from seasonal baselines. While rare instrument calibration issues or microclimate variations could theoretically alter official readings, the alignment of multiple independent stations makes such adjustments highly improbable before final verification.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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