Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs indicate San Francisco’s August 6 high will likely settle near 70–73 °F, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those bins. Persistent onshore flow and a moderate marine layer are expected to limit daytime warming along the immediate coast, consistent with climatological August averages of 69 °F. Minor variations in sea-breeze strength, low-cloud coverage, and any weak high-pressure ridging could shift the peak by a degree or two; stronger winds or earlier fog burn-off would favor the 74–75 °F outcome, while thicker stratus would cap readings closer to 68–69 °F. Updated model guidance and morning observations tomorrow will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 6?
72-73°F 34%
70-71°F 20%
74-75°F 20%
68-69°F 13%
65°F or below
3%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
13%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
34%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
1%
72-73°F 34%
70-71°F 20%
74-75°F 20%
68-69°F 13%
65°F or below
3%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
13%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
34%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs indicate San Francisco’s August 6 high will likely settle near 70–73 °F, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those bins. Persistent onshore flow and a moderate marine layer are expected to limit daytime warming along the immediate coast, consistent with climatological August averages of 69 °F. Minor variations in sea-breeze strength, low-cloud coverage, and any weak high-pressure ridging could shift the peak by a degree or two; stronger winds or earlier fog burn-off would favor the 74–75 °F outcome, while thicker stratus would cap readings closer to 68–69 °F. Updated model guidance and morning observations tomorrow will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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