Official measurements from Atlanta-area stations, including Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 84-85°F on August 4, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service observations amid typical late-summer conditions featuring moderate humidity, scattered afternoon convection, and steering patterns that limited peak heating below the seasonal average near 88°F. Model consensus prior to the date had centered near 86-87°F, but actual surface temperatures settled lower due to cloud cover and timing of any showers. With resolution criteria now met through verified station data, the dominant positioning reflects traders' rapid incorporation of post-event observations rather than forecast uncertainty.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Atlanta on August 4?
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$61,489 Vol.
$61,489 Vol.
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$61,489 Vol.
$61,489 Vol.
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official measurements from Atlanta-area stations, including Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 84-85°F on August 4, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service observations amid typical late-summer conditions featuring moderate humidity, scattered afternoon convection, and steering patterns that limited peak heating below the seasonal average near 88°F. Model consensus prior to the date had centered near 86-87°F, but actual surface temperatures settled lower due to cloud cover and timing of any showers. With resolution criteria now met through verified station data, the dominant positioning reflects traders' rapid incorporation of post-event observations rather than forecast uncertainty.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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