Latest official forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts models indicate a daily maximum in Munich of 33–34 °C on August 5, with the tight market-implied odds between those two outcomes reflecting genuine uncertainty in peak timing and local effects. Southeasterly flow continues to advect warm air, but increasing afternoon cloud cover and possible scattered convection could cap temperatures below 34 °C at official stations. Historical early-August baselines show 31–33 °C as typical, so any deviation hinges on precise insolation and boundary-layer mixing observed through the afternoon. Traders are closely watching the next model runs and real-time station data for resolution thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Munich on August 5?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 5?
33°C 44%
34°C 43%
35°C 9%
32°C 7%
$58,791 Vol.
$58,791 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
7%
33°C
44%
34°C
43%
35°C
9%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 44%
34°C 43%
35°C 9%
32°C 7%
$58,791 Vol.
$58,791 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
30°C or below
$4,283 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$4,253 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$8,960 Vol.
7%
33°C
$9,880 Vol.
44%
34°C
$8,791 Vol.
43%
35°C
$10,445 Vol.
9%
36°C
$8,600 Vol.
1%
37°C
$2,396 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$449 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$383 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts models indicate a daily maximum in Munich of 33–34 °C on August 5, with the tight market-implied odds between those two outcomes reflecting genuine uncertainty in peak timing and local effects. Southeasterly flow continues to advect warm air, but increasing afternoon cloud cover and possible scattered convection could cap temperatures below 34 °C at official stations. Historical early-August baselines show 31–33 °C as typical, so any deviation hinges on precise insolation and boundary-layer mixing observed through the afternoon. Traders are closely watching the next model runs and real-time station data for resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$58,791Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts models indicate a daily maximum in Munich of 33–34 °C on August 5, with the tight market-implied odds between those two outcomes reflecting genuine uncertainty in peak timing and local effects. Southeasterly flow continues to advect warm air, but increasing afternoon cloud cover and possible scattered convection could cap temperatures below 34 °C at official stations. Historical early-August baselines show 31–33 °C as typical, so any deviation hinges on precise insolation and boundary-layer mixing observed through the afternoon. Traders are closely watching the next model runs and real-time station data for resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$58,791Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts models indicate a daily maximum in Munich of 33–34 °C on August 5, with the tight market-implied odds between those two outcomes reflecting genuine uncertainty in peak timing and local effects. Southeasterly flow continues to advect warm air, but increasing afternoon cloud cover and possible scattered convection could cap temperatures below 34 °C at official stations. Historical early-August baselines show 31–33 °C as typical, so any deviation hinges on precise insolation and boundary-layer mixing observed through the afternoon. Traders are closely watching the next model runs and real-time station data for resolution thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan