Recent Met Office guidance shows London under a transitional high-pressure regime after recent warmth, with clear spells and light winds favoring radiative cooling overnight on August 6–7. Ensemble forecasts and regional models converge on minimum temperatures of 13–15 °C at London City Airport, the resolution station, consistent with early-August climatology once the prior heat plume shifts eastward. Urban heat-island retention and modest humidity may prevent sharper drops below 13 °C, while any unexpected cloud cover or stronger breeze could lift readings toward 15 °C. Traders have priced these narrow outcomes most heavily because updated model runs through early August show limited spread around this range, with resolution hinging on the precise 00:00–06:00 UTC minimum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on August 7?
Lowest temperature in London on August 7?
14°C 30%
13°C 26%
15°C 22%
16°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 7, 2026
10°C or below
3%
11°C
7%
12°C
8%
13°C
26%
14°C
33%
15°C
23%
16°C
8%
17°C
8%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
2%
14°C 30%
13°C 26%
15°C 22%
16°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 7, 2026
10°C or below
$11 Vol.
3%
11°C
$0 Vol.
7%
12°C
$0 Vol.
8%
13°C
$65 Vol.
26%
14°C
$76 Vol.
33%
15°C
$77 Vol.
23%
16°C
$1 Vol.
8%
17°C
$37 Vol.
8%
18°C
$11 Vol.
1%
19°C
$10 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$15 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance shows London under a transitional high-pressure regime after recent warmth, with clear spells and light winds favoring radiative cooling overnight on August 6–7. Ensemble forecasts and regional models converge on minimum temperatures of 13–15 °C at London City Airport, the resolution station, consistent with early-August climatology once the prior heat plume shifts eastward. Urban heat-island retention and modest humidity may prevent sharper drops below 13 °C, while any unexpected cloud cover or stronger breeze could lift readings toward 15 °C. Traders have priced these narrow outcomes most heavily because updated model runs through early August show limited spread around this range, with resolution hinging on the precise 00:00–06:00 UTC minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$302Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance shows London under a transitional high-pressure regime after recent warmth, with clear spells and light winds favoring radiative cooling overnight on August 6–7. Ensemble forecasts and regional models converge on minimum temperatures of 13–15 °C at London City Airport, the resolution station, consistent with early-August climatology once the prior heat plume shifts eastward. Urban heat-island retention and modest humidity may prevent sharper drops below 13 °C, while any unexpected cloud cover or stronger breeze could lift readings toward 15 °C. Traders have priced these narrow outcomes most heavily because updated model runs through early August show limited spread around this range, with resolution hinging on the precise 00:00–06:00 UTC minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$302Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance shows London under a transitional high-pressure regime after recent warmth, with clear spells and light winds favoring radiative cooling overnight on August 6–7. Ensemble forecasts and regional models converge on minimum temperatures of 13–15 °C at London City Airport, the resolution station, consistent with early-August climatology once the prior heat plume shifts eastward. Urban heat-island retention and modest humidity may prevent sharper drops below 13 °C, while any unexpected cloud cover or stronger breeze could lift readings toward 15 °C. Traders have priced these narrow outcomes most heavily because updated model runs through early August show limited spread around this range, with resolution hinging on the precise 00:00–06:00 UTC minimum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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