Recent forecasts from the Met Office and models indicate a continuation of above-average warmth across southern England, with overnight lows in London holding near 18°C due to mild Atlantic airflow and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market's strong consensus around 18–19°C as the day's minimum, reflecting historical August norms of 13–14°C being exceeded amid persistent high pressure and southerly winds. Updated model runs show minimal cooling potential overnight on August 5, though any increase in cloud cover or wind shifts could allow a dip toward 17°C. Traders weigh these stable conditions against typical seasonal variability, where clear skies might briefly lower readings before dawn.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on August 5?
18°C 50%
19°C 26%
17°C 5.4%
16°C <1%
$37,562 Vol.
$37,562 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
53%
19°C
36%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 50%
19°C 26%
17°C 5.4%
16°C <1%
$37,562 Vol.
$37,562 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
53%
19°C
36%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and models indicate a continuation of above-average warmth across southern England, with overnight lows in London holding near 18°C due to mild Atlantic airflow and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market's strong consensus around 18–19°C as the day's minimum, reflecting historical August norms of 13–14°C being exceeded amid persistent high pressure and southerly winds. Updated model runs show minimal cooling potential overnight on August 5, though any increase in cloud cover or wind shifts could allow a dip toward 17°C. Traders weigh these stable conditions against typical seasonal variability, where clear skies might briefly lower readings before dawn.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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