Recent cooling after a mid-week heat spike positions 23°C as the frontrunner for London's August 6 maximum, with Met Office and ensemble forecasts converging on highs of 22–24°C under building high pressure and moderating Atlantic flow. Trader probabilities (46% for 23°C, 25.5% for 24°C, 24.5% for 22°C) mirror this consensus, as models show limited diurnal heating and only modest recovery potential. Typical early-August climatology centers near 22–23°C, and the absence of strong southerly advection or clear-sky amplification reduces odds of exceeding 25°C. Updated model runs and overnight observations will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on August 6?
Highest temperature in London on August 6?
23°C 45%
24°C 28%
22°C 25%
25°C 5%
BARU
$19,214 Vol.
BARU
$19,214 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
25%
23°C
45%
24°C
28%
25°C
5%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 45%
24°C 28%
22°C 25%
25°C 5%
BARU
$19,214 Vol.
BARU
$19,214 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
19°C or below
$3,183 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,563 Vol.
2%
21°C
$2,150 Vol.
3%
22°C
$2,752 Vol.
25%
23°C
$3,676 Vol.
45%
24°C
$1,309 Vol.
28%
25°C
$1,257 Vol.
5%
26°C
$773 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$862 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$501 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$1,187 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after a mid-week heat spike positions 23°C as the frontrunner for London's August 6 maximum, with Met Office and ensemble forecasts converging on highs of 22–24°C under building high pressure and moderating Atlantic flow. Trader probabilities (46% for 23°C, 25.5% for 24°C, 24.5% for 22°C) mirror this consensus, as models show limited diurnal heating and only modest recovery potential. Typical early-August climatology centers near 22–23°C, and the absence of strong southerly advection or clear-sky amplification reduces odds of exceeding 25°C. Updated model runs and overnight observations will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$19,214Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after a mid-week heat spike positions 23°C as the frontrunner for London's August 6 maximum, with Met Office and ensemble forecasts converging on highs of 22–24°C under building high pressure and moderating Atlantic flow. Trader probabilities (46% for 23°C, 25.5% for 24°C, 24.5% for 22°C) mirror this consensus, as models show limited diurnal heating and only modest recovery potential. Typical early-August climatology centers near 22–23°C, and the absence of strong southerly advection or clear-sky amplification reduces odds of exceeding 25°C. Updated model runs and overnight observations will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,214Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooling after a mid-week heat spike positions 23°C as the frontrunner for London's August 6 maximum, with Met Office and ensemble forecasts converging on highs of 22–24°C under building high pressure and moderating Atlantic flow. Trader probabilities (46% for 23°C, 25.5% for 24°C, 24.5% for 22°C) mirror this consensus, as models show limited diurnal heating and only modest recovery potential. Typical early-August climatology centers near 22–23°C, and the absence of strong southerly advection or clear-sky amplification reduces odds of exceeding 25°C. Updated model runs and overnight observations will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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