Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs place the August 6 high temperature in New York City in the upper 80s to low 90s, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 88–91 °F. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to uncertain afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and any scattered convection that could cap the peak. Warmer-than-average monthly outlooks and recent days in the mid-80s have reinforced expectations above the 83 °F August climatology, yet the 26.5 % probability on 86–87 °F reflects the realistic chance that increased humidity and storms moderate the maximum. Updated model cycles and NWS briefings tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the distribution before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on August 6?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 6?
88-89°F 38%
90-91°F 30%
86-87°F 26%
92-93°F 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 6, 2026
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
26%
88-89°F
38%
90-91°F
30%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
1%
88-89°F 38%
90-91°F 30%
86-87°F 26%
92-93°F 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 6, 2026
79°F or below
$95 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$88 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$15 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$40 Vol.
5%
86-87°F
$23 Vol.
26%
88-89°F
$188 Vol.
38%
90-91°F
$96 Vol.
30%
92-93°F
$117 Vol.
6%
94-95°F
$342 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$208 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$160 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs place the August 6 high temperature in New York City in the upper 80s to low 90s, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 88–91 °F. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to uncertain afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and any scattered convection that could cap the peak. Warmer-than-average monthly outlooks and recent days in the mid-80s have reinforced expectations above the 83 °F August climatology, yet the 26.5 % probability on 86–87 °F reflects the realistic chance that increased humidity and storms moderate the maximum. Updated model cycles and NWS briefings tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$1,373Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs place the August 6 high temperature in New York City in the upper 80s to low 90s, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 88–91 °F. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to uncertain afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and any scattered convection that could cap the peak. Warmer-than-average monthly outlooks and recent days in the mid-80s have reinforced expectations above the 83 °F August climatology, yet the 26.5 % probability on 86–87 °F reflects the realistic chance that increased humidity and storms moderate the maximum. Updated model cycles and NWS briefings tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,373Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs place the August 6 high temperature in New York City in the upper 80s to low 90s, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 88–91 °F. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to uncertain afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and any scattered convection that could cap the peak. Warmer-than-average monthly outlooks and recent days in the mid-80s have reinforced expectations above the 83 °F August climatology, yet the 26.5 % probability on 86–87 °F reflects the realistic chance that increased humidity and storms moderate the maximum. Updated model cycles and NWS briefings tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the distribution before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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