**Persistent marine layer effects and typical August climatology position 72-73°F as the consensus outcome for San Francisco’s daily high on August 5, 2026.** Official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather project highs generally between 65-75°F citywide, with the marine layer—cool, moist air advected onshore by prevailing northwest winds—limiting solar heating and suppressing temperatures near the coast. This pattern, reinforced by cold Pacific upwelling, produces the city’s characteristically mild summer conditions, where daily maxima rarely exceed 79°F and average near 70°F. Recent model runs and early-August observations show no strong offshore flow or heat dome extending to the immediate coastline, keeping conditions slightly above seasonal norms but well short of interior Bay Area spikes. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 72-75°F because these align with National Weather Service expectations for the official station (typically KSFO), while lower or higher bins reflect lower-probability deviations from the forecast envelope. Updated model guidance and afternoon observations will refine resolution as the day progresses.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 5?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 5?
72-73°F 53%
74-75°F 25%
70-71°F 19%
76-77°F 5%
BARU
$21,515 Vol.
BARU
$21,515 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
53%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 53%
74-75°F 25%
70-71°F 19%
76-77°F 5%
BARU
$21,515 Vol.
BARU
$21,515 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
65°F or below
$518 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$419 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$822 Vol.
4%
70-71°F
$1,712 Vol.
19%
72-73°F
$3,848 Vol.
53%
74-75°F
$1,839 Vol.
25%
76-77°F
$1,432 Vol.
5%
78-79°F
$3,454 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$2,229 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$2,993 Vol.
<1%
84°F or higher
$2,249 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent marine layer effects and typical August climatology position 72-73°F as the consensus outcome for San Francisco’s daily high on August 5, 2026.** Official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather project highs generally between 65-75°F citywide, with the marine layer—cool, moist air advected onshore by prevailing northwest winds—limiting solar heating and suppressing temperatures near the coast. This pattern, reinforced by cold Pacific upwelling, produces the city’s characteristically mild summer conditions, where daily maxima rarely exceed 79°F and average near 70°F.
Recent model runs and early-August observations show no strong offshore flow or heat dome extending to the immediate coastline, keeping conditions slightly above seasonal norms but well short of interior Bay Area spikes. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 72-75°F because these align with National Weather Service expectations for the official station (typically KSFO), while lower or higher bins reflect lower-probability deviations from the forecast envelope. Updated model guidance and afternoon observations will refine resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$21,515Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent marine layer effects and typical August climatology position 72-73°F as the consensus outcome for San Francisco’s daily high on August 5, 2026.** Official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather project highs generally between 65-75°F citywide, with the marine layer—cool, moist air advected onshore by prevailing northwest winds—limiting solar heating and suppressing temperatures near the coast. This pattern, reinforced by cold Pacific upwelling, produces the city’s characteristically mild summer conditions, where daily maxima rarely exceed 79°F and average near 70°F.
Recent model runs and early-August observations show no strong offshore flow or heat dome extending to the immediate coastline, keeping conditions slightly above seasonal norms but well short of interior Bay Area spikes. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 72-75°F because these align with National Weather Service expectations for the official station (typically KSFO), while lower or higher bins reflect lower-probability deviations from the forecast envelope. Updated model guidance and afternoon observations will refine resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,515Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent marine layer effects and typical August climatology position 72-73°F as the consensus outcome for San Francisco’s daily high on August 5, 2026.** Official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather project highs generally between 65-75°F citywide, with the marine layer—cool, moist air advected onshore by prevailing northwest winds—limiting solar heating and suppressing temperatures near the coast. This pattern, reinforced by cold Pacific upwelling, produces the city’s characteristically mild summer conditions, where daily maxima rarely exceed 79°F and average near 70°F. Recent model runs and early-August observations show no strong offshore flow or heat dome extending to the immediate coastline, keeping conditions slightly above seasonal norms but well short of interior Bay Area spikes. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 72-75°F because these align with National Weather Service expectations for the official station (typically KSFO), while lower or higher bins reflect lower-probability deviations from the forecast envelope. Updated model guidance and afternoon observations will refine resolution as the day progresses.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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