National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport indicate a high near 77°F on August 5, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow that limits daytime heating along the coast. This coastal moderation, common in early August under typical summer patterns, explains the market's strong consensus around 76-77°F at 70% implied probability, with 74-75°F as the next most likely outcome at 10.5%. Model consensus and recent observations show minimal warming potential today, though slight shifts in fog clearance timing or wind patterns could influence final readings. Traders weigh these variables against historical norms for the station ahead of official daily climate reports.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 5?
76-77°F 70%
78-79°F 14%
74-75°F 11%
80-81°F 1.7%
$27,867 Vol.
$27,867 Vol.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
70%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 70%
78-79°F 14%
74-75°F 11%
80-81°F 1.7%
$27,867 Vol.
$27,867 Vol.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
70%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport indicate a high near 77°F on August 5, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow that limits daytime heating along the coast. This coastal moderation, common in early August under typical summer patterns, explains the market's strong consensus around 76-77°F at 70% implied probability, with 74-75°F as the next most likely outcome at 10.5%. Model consensus and recent observations show minimal warming potential today, though slight shifts in fog clearance timing or wind patterns could influence final readings. Traders weigh these variables against historical norms for the station ahead of official daily climate reports.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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