The market consensus on an 84-85°F high for Chicago on August 4 reflects the official maximum temperature recorded at Chicago Midway International Airport, which fell squarely in that narrow band per National Weather Service climatological data. Early August conditions aligned closely with 1991-2020 normals near 84°F, with limited deviation from model guidance and no significant heat wave or cool front to shift outcomes. This outcome matches historical patterns for the period, where daily highs rarely stray far from the seasonal baseline absent strong synoptic forcing. A measurement revision between Midway and O'Hare stations or an unreported data correction could theoretically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary reports are finalized.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chicago on August 4?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 4?
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$37,731 Vol.
$37,731 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$37,731 Vol.
$37,731 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
75°F or below
$638 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$539 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$3,190 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$2,239 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$8,405 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$8,465 Vol.
100%
86-87°F
$6,680 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$3,484 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$2,709 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$741 Vol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$643 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market consensus on an 84-85°F high for Chicago on August 4 reflects the official maximum temperature recorded at Chicago Midway International Airport, which fell squarely in that narrow band per National Weather Service climatological data. Early August conditions aligned closely with 1991-2020 normals near 84°F, with limited deviation from model guidance and no significant heat wave or cool front to shift outcomes. This outcome matches historical patterns for the period, where daily highs rarely stray far from the seasonal baseline absent strong synoptic forcing. A measurement revision between Midway and O'Hare stations or an unreported data correction could theoretically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary reports are finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$37,731Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market consensus on an 84-85°F high for Chicago on August 4 reflects the official maximum temperature recorded at Chicago Midway International Airport, which fell squarely in that narrow band per National Weather Service climatological data. Early August conditions aligned closely with 1991-2020 normals near 84°F, with limited deviation from model guidance and no significant heat wave or cool front to shift outcomes. This outcome matches historical patterns for the period, where daily highs rarely stray far from the seasonal baseline absent strong synoptic forcing. A measurement revision between Midway and O'Hare stations or an unreported data correction could theoretically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary reports are finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37,731Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market consensus on an 84-85°F high for Chicago on August 4 reflects the official maximum temperature recorded at Chicago Midway International Airport, which fell squarely in that narrow band per National Weather Service climatological data. Early August conditions aligned closely with 1991-2020 normals near 84°F, with limited deviation from model guidance and no significant heat wave or cool front to shift outcomes. This outcome matches historical patterns for the period, where daily highs rarely stray far from the seasonal baseline absent strong synoptic forcing. A measurement revision between Midway and O'Hare stations or an unreported data correction could theoretically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary reports are finalized.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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