Persistent heatwave conditions driven by a strong North Pacific high-pressure system and clear skies are sustaining elevated daytime maxima in Busan, with the Korea Meteorological Administration maintaining heatwave alerts. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even 34°C (38.5%) and 35°C (33.5%) market-implied odds, centers on whether solar heating and limited nocturnal cooling from high humidity and warm sea-surface temperatures push the daily peak across the 35°C threshold. Coastal sea breezes and any late-day cloud development introduce modest uncertainty, while historical August baselines of 29–31°C underscore the current anomaly; updated KMA observations through evening will likely resolve the narrow spread between these outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Busan on August 5?
35°C 48%
36°C 34%
34°C 10%
37°C 3.9%
$17,487 Vol.
$17,487 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
3%
34°C
10%
35°C
48%
36°C
40%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 48%
36°C 34%
34°C 10%
37°C 3.9%
$17,487 Vol.
$17,487 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
3%
34°C
10%
35°C
48%
36°C
40%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heatwave conditions driven by a strong North Pacific high-pressure system and clear skies are sustaining elevated daytime maxima in Busan, with the Korea Meteorological Administration maintaining heatwave alerts. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even 34°C (38.5%) and 35°C (33.5%) market-implied odds, centers on whether solar heating and limited nocturnal cooling from high humidity and warm sea-surface temperatures push the daily peak across the 35°C threshold. Coastal sea breezes and any late-day cloud development introduce modest uncertainty, while historical August baselines of 29–31°C underscore the current anomaly; updated KMA observations through evening will likely resolve the narrow spread between these outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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