Forecast models from European meteorological services indicate a peak temperature in Warsaw on August 5, 2026, most likely reaching 37–38°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge and southerly flow advecting warm air from the south. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on those two outcomes. A broader Central European heatwave, including Poland's recent national records above 40°C in late June, has elevated baseline temperatures, though cloud cover and timing of the daily maximum introduce modest uncertainty in exact readings at official stations. Updated short-range ensembles continue to cluster tightly around these values, supporting the current trader consensus while leaving room for minor revisions as real-time observations accumulate.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 5?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 5?
37°C 41%
38°C 31%
36°C 22%
39°C 7%
$41,171 Vol.
$41,171 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
22%
37°C
41%
38°C
31%
39°C
7%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
37°C 41%
38°C 31%
36°C 22%
39°C 7%
$41,171 Vol.
$41,171 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
31°C or below
$6,369 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$4,383 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$3,106 Vol.
1%
34°C
$2,550 Vol.
1%
35°C
$5,293 Vol.
3%
36°C
$2,252 Vol.
22%
37°C
$1,926 Vol.
41%
38°C
$5,768 Vol.
31%
39°C
$5,668 Vol.
7%
40°C
$2,524 Vol.
1%
41°C or higher
$1,332 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from European meteorological services indicate a peak temperature in Warsaw on August 5, 2026, most likely reaching 37–38°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge and southerly flow advecting warm air from the south. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on those two outcomes. A broader Central European heatwave, including Poland's recent national records above 40°C in late June, has elevated baseline temperatures, though cloud cover and timing of the daily maximum introduce modest uncertainty in exact readings at official stations. Updated short-range ensembles continue to cluster tightly around these values, supporting the current trader consensus while leaving room for minor revisions as real-time observations accumulate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$41,171Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from European meteorological services indicate a peak temperature in Warsaw on August 5, 2026, most likely reaching 37–38°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge and southerly flow advecting warm air from the south. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on those two outcomes. A broader Central European heatwave, including Poland's recent national records above 40°C in late June, has elevated baseline temperatures, though cloud cover and timing of the daily maximum introduce modest uncertainty in exact readings at official stations. Updated short-range ensembles continue to cluster tightly around these values, supporting the current trader consensus while leaving room for minor revisions as real-time observations accumulate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41,171Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from European meteorological services indicate a peak temperature in Warsaw on August 5, 2026, most likely reaching 37–38°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge and southerly flow advecting warm air from the south. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on those two outcomes. A broader Central European heatwave, including Poland's recent national records above 40°C in late June, has elevated baseline temperatures, though cloud cover and timing of the daily maximum introduce modest uncertainty in exact readings at official stations. Updated short-range ensembles continue to cluster tightly around these values, supporting the current trader consensus while leaving room for minor revisions as real-time observations accumulate.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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