Recent forecast guidance from models and agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a warm air mass over eastern China sustaining daily highs near 34–35°C in Shanghai on August 7, with partly cloudy skies and limited afternoon convection. Persistent subtropical high pressure has kept conditions above seasonal norms through early August, while variable humidity and any scattered showers could trim peak readings by 1–2°C if timing aligns with maximum solar heating. This uncertainty around exact maximum values underpins the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 33°C, 34°C, and 35°C outcomes, with traders weighting the balance between model consensus and historical variability in urban heat-island effects. Updated runs ahead of the weekend will likely refine steering patterns and precipitation chances.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 7?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 7?
34°C 32%
33°C 32%
35°C 18%
32°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 7, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
11%
33°C
32%
34°C
32%
35°C
18%
36°C
6%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 32%
33°C 32%
35°C 18%
32°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 7, 2026
28°C or below
$35 Vol.
1%
29°C
$35 Vol.
1%
30°C
$20 Vol.
3%
31°C
$89 Vol.
3%
32°C
$62 Vol.
11%
33°C
$379 Vol.
32%
34°C
$174 Vol.
32%
35°C
$116 Vol.
18%
36°C
$154 Vol.
6%
37°C
$405 Vol.
2%
38°C or higher
$45 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from models and agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a warm air mass over eastern China sustaining daily highs near 34–35°C in Shanghai on August 7, with partly cloudy skies and limited afternoon convection. Persistent subtropical high pressure has kept conditions above seasonal norms through early August, while variable humidity and any scattered showers could trim peak readings by 1–2°C if timing aligns with maximum solar heating. This uncertainty around exact maximum values underpins the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 33°C, 34°C, and 35°C outcomes, with traders weighting the balance between model consensus and historical variability in urban heat-island effects. Updated runs ahead of the weekend will likely refine steering patterns and precipitation chances.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$780Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from models and agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a warm air mass over eastern China sustaining daily highs near 34–35°C in Shanghai on August 7, with partly cloudy skies and limited afternoon convection. Persistent subtropical high pressure has kept conditions above seasonal norms through early August, while variable humidity and any scattered showers could trim peak readings by 1–2°C if timing aligns with maximum solar heating. This uncertainty around exact maximum values underpins the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 33°C, 34°C, and 35°C outcomes, with traders weighting the balance between model consensus and historical variability in urban heat-island effects. Updated runs ahead of the weekend will likely refine steering patterns and precipitation chances.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$780Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from models and agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a warm air mass over eastern China sustaining daily highs near 34–35°C in Shanghai on August 7, with partly cloudy skies and limited afternoon convection. Persistent subtropical high pressure has kept conditions above seasonal norms through early August, while variable humidity and any scattered showers could trim peak readings by 1–2°C if timing aligns with maximum solar heating. This uncertainty around exact maximum values underpins the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 33°C, 34°C, and 35°C outcomes, with traders weighting the balance between model consensus and historical variability in urban heat-island effects. Updated runs ahead of the weekend will likely refine steering patterns and precipitation chances.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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