High pressure dominating southern England has established mostly clear, dry conditions with light winds, promoting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling and positioning the Met Office forecast minimum of 16–17°C as the consensus outcome for London on August 11. Recent model runs show stable anticyclonic flow and daytime highs near 26°C, allowing overnight temperatures to settle in the mid-teens consistent with climatological August baselines. Trader emphasis on the 17°C (51%) and 16°C (33.5%) bins reflects limited downside risk from cloud cover or stronger advection, while the small probabilities assigned to 15°C or lower acknowledge residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing. Updated guidance through the weekend and any shifts in pressure gradients will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on August 11?
Lowest temperature in London on August 11?
17°C 39%
16°C 37%
18°C 12%
15°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 11, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
8%
16°C
37%
17°C
39%
18°C
12%
19°C
4%
20°C
2%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 39%
16°C 37%
18°C 12%
15°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 11, 2026
12°C or below
$36 Vol.
1%
13°C
$33 Vol.
1%
14°C
$33 Vol.
2%
15°C
$56 Vol.
8%
16°C
$1,252 Vol.
37%
17°C
$1,219 Vol.
39%
18°C
$82 Vol.
12%
19°C
$33 Vol.
4%
20°C
$33 Vol.
2%
21°C
$56 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$71 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High pressure dominating southern England has established mostly clear, dry conditions with light winds, promoting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling and positioning the Met Office forecast minimum of 16–17°C as the consensus outcome for London on August 11. Recent model runs show stable anticyclonic flow and daytime highs near 26°C, allowing overnight temperatures to settle in the mid-teens consistent with climatological August baselines. Trader emphasis on the 17°C (51%) and 16°C (33.5%) bins reflects limited downside risk from cloud cover or stronger advection, while the small probabilities assigned to 15°C or lower acknowledge residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing. Updated guidance through the weekend and any shifts in pressure gradients will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,904Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High pressure dominating southern England has established mostly clear, dry conditions with light winds, promoting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling and positioning the Met Office forecast minimum of 16–17°C as the consensus outcome for London on August 11. Recent model runs show stable anticyclonic flow and daytime highs near 26°C, allowing overnight temperatures to settle in the mid-teens consistent with climatological August baselines. Trader emphasis on the 17°C (51%) and 16°C (33.5%) bins reflects limited downside risk from cloud cover or stronger advection, while the small probabilities assigned to 15°C or lower acknowledge residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing. Updated guidance through the weekend and any shifts in pressure gradients will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,904Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...High pressure dominating southern England has established mostly clear, dry conditions with light winds, promoting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling and positioning the Met Office forecast minimum of 16–17°C as the consensus outcome for London on August 11. Recent model runs show stable anticyclonic flow and daytime highs near 26°C, allowing overnight temperatures to settle in the mid-teens consistent with climatological August baselines. Trader emphasis on the 17°C (51%) and 16°C (33.5%) bins reflects limited downside risk from cloud cover or stronger advection, while the small probabilities assigned to 15°C or lower acknowledge residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing. Updated guidance through the weekend and any shifts in pressure gradients will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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