**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources positions the highest temperature in Beijing on August 9, 2026, near 30–32°C, directly supporting the market's leading outcomes at 32°C (39%), 31°C (23.5%), and 33°C (21.5%).** Short-range model runs, including those from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing and international services, indicate sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light southeast or northeast breezes, yielding daytime maxima around 30–31°C. This aligns with the typical seasonal decline in early-to-mid August after the Beginning of Autumn solar term (around August 7–9), when average highs trend downward from mid-summer peaks toward 30°C amid moderating monsoon influences and increased cloud potential. Recent updates show current patterns with highs near 32–34°C on August 7–8 cooling slightly by the weekend, tempered by humidity and possible scattered clouds that limit extreme heating. Historical August baselines (roughly 30–32°C) and the absence of strong heatwave signals further anchor trader expectations around these values, with lower probabilities assigned to 34°C+ or sub-30°C outcomes due to forecast stability. New model runs or observational adjustments in the next 24–48 hours could refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Beijing on August 9?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 9?
32°C 37%
31°C 23%
33°C 22%
34°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 9, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
23%
32°C
37%
33°C
22%
34°C
9%
35°C or higher
7%
32°C 37%
31°C 23%
33°C 22%
34°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 9, 2026
25°C or below
$154 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$56 Vol.
1%
28°C
$40 Vol.
3%
29°C
$101 Vol.
3%
30°C
$33 Vol.
7%
31°C
$75 Vol.
23%
32°C
$248 Vol.
37%
33°C
$61 Vol.
22%
34°C
$99 Vol.
9%
35°C or higher
$170 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources positions the highest temperature in Beijing on August 9, 2026, near 30–32°C, directly supporting the market's leading outcomes at 32°C (39%), 31°C (23.5%), and 33°C (21.5%).**
Short-range model runs, including those from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing and international services, indicate sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light southeast or northeast breezes, yielding daytime maxima around 30–31°C. This aligns with the typical seasonal decline in early-to-mid August after the Beginning of Autumn solar term (around August 7–9), when average highs trend downward from mid-summer peaks toward 30°C amid moderating monsoon influences and increased cloud potential.
Recent updates show current patterns with highs near 32–34°C on August 7–8 cooling slightly by the weekend, tempered by humidity and possible scattered clouds that limit extreme heating. Historical August baselines (roughly 30–32°C) and the absence of strong heatwave signals further anchor trader expectations around these values, with lower probabilities assigned to 34°C+ or sub-30°C outcomes due to forecast stability. New model runs or observational adjustments in the next 24–48 hours could refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,137Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources positions the highest temperature in Beijing on August 9, 2026, near 30–32°C, directly supporting the market's leading outcomes at 32°C (39%), 31°C (23.5%), and 33°C (21.5%).**
Short-range model runs, including those from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing and international services, indicate sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light southeast or northeast breezes, yielding daytime maxima around 30–31°C. This aligns with the typical seasonal decline in early-to-mid August after the Beginning of Autumn solar term (around August 7–9), when average highs trend downward from mid-summer peaks toward 30°C amid moderating monsoon influences and increased cloud potential.
Recent updates show current patterns with highs near 32–34°C on August 7–8 cooling slightly by the weekend, tempered by humidity and possible scattered clouds that limit extreme heating. Historical August baselines (roughly 30–32°C) and the absence of strong heatwave signals further anchor trader expectations around these values, with lower probabilities assigned to 34°C+ or sub-30°C outcomes due to forecast stability. New model runs or observational adjustments in the next 24–48 hours could refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,137Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources positions the highest temperature in Beijing on August 9, 2026, near 30–32°C, directly supporting the market's leading outcomes at 32°C (39%), 31°C (23.5%), and 33°C (21.5%).** Short-range model runs, including those from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing and international services, indicate sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light southeast or northeast breezes, yielding daytime maxima around 30–31°C. This aligns with the typical seasonal decline in early-to-mid August after the Beginning of Autumn solar term (around August 7–9), when average highs trend downward from mid-summer peaks toward 30°C amid moderating monsoon influences and increased cloud potential. Recent updates show current patterns with highs near 32–34°C on August 7–8 cooling slightly by the weekend, tempered by humidity and possible scattered clouds that limit extreme heating. Historical August baselines (roughly 30–32°C) and the absence of strong heatwave signals further anchor trader expectations around these values, with lower probabilities assigned to 34°C+ or sub-30°C outcomes due to forecast stability. New model runs or observational adjustments in the next 24–48 hours could refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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