Current ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris maximum temperatures on August 9 in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, driven by high-pressure building over western Europe that favors clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime insolation following July's heatwave. Model spread centers on 30–34°C outcomes, with subtle differences in timing of any afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer mixing determining whether readings reach 33–34°C or stay near 32°C; climatological August highs average near 25°C, so this setup represents above-normal warmth. Traders assign roughly equal weight to the two leading bins as resolution nears and short-range guidance stabilizes, while lower-probability tails reflect residual uncertainty in urban heat-island amplification and exact steering flow.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on August 9?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 9?
34°C 30%
33°C 27%
32°C 13%
35°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 9, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
13%
33°C
27%
34°C
30%
35°C
13%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
4%
34°C 30%
33°C 27%
32°C 13%
35°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 9, 2026
28°C or below
$12 Vol.
1%
29°C
$12 Vol.
1%
30°C
$12 Vol.
2%
31°C
$28 Vol.
8%
32°C
$10 Vol.
13%
33°C
$10 Vol.
27%
34°C
$87 Vol.
30%
35°C
$0 Vol.
13%
36°C
$15 Vol.
2%
37°C
$19 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$25 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris maximum temperatures on August 9 in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, driven by high-pressure building over western Europe that favors clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime insolation following July's heatwave. Model spread centers on 30–34°C outcomes, with subtle differences in timing of any afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer mixing determining whether readings reach 33–34°C or stay near 32°C; climatological August highs average near 25°C, so this setup represents above-normal warmth. Traders assign roughly equal weight to the two leading bins as resolution nears and short-range guidance stabilizes, while lower-probability tails reflect residual uncertainty in urban heat-island amplification and exact steering flow.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$230Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris maximum temperatures on August 9 in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, driven by high-pressure building over western Europe that favors clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime insolation following July's heatwave. Model spread centers on 30–34°C outcomes, with subtle differences in timing of any afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer mixing determining whether readings reach 33–34°C or stay near 32°C; climatological August highs average near 25°C, so this setup represents above-normal warmth. Traders assign roughly equal weight to the two leading bins as resolution nears and short-range guidance stabilizes, while lower-probability tails reflect residual uncertainty in urban heat-island amplification and exact steering flow.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$230Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris maximum temperatures on August 9 in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, driven by high-pressure building over western Europe that favors clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime insolation following July's heatwave. Model spread centers on 30–34°C outcomes, with subtle differences in timing of any afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer mixing determining whether readings reach 33–34°C or stay near 32°C; climatological August highs average near 25°C, so this setup represents above-normal warmth. Traders assign roughly equal weight to the two leading bins as resolution nears and short-range guidance stabilizes, while lower-probability tails reflect residual uncertainty in urban heat-island amplification and exact steering flow.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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