Persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity are limiting overnight radiative cooling across Hong Kong, keeping minimum temperatures anchored near 28–30 °C according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and consensus model runs. Urban heat-island effects and light winds further suppress cooling, consistent with recent observed lows of 26–28 °C earlier in the month. Seasonal outlooks for August–October indicate normal to above-normal temperatures, with no incoming cold fronts or significant tropical systems expected to alter the pattern before August 11. These conditions concentrate market-implied probability on the 28–30 °C range, as traders weigh the narrow historical variability of summer nighttime minima against minor forecast adjustments in the final model updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?
29°C 45%
30°C 29%
28°C 22%
27°C 6%
BARU
$12,605 Vol.
BARU
$12,605 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
6%
28°C
22%
29°C
45%
30°C
29%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 45%
30°C 29%
28°C 22%
27°C 6%
BARU
$12,605 Vol.
BARU
$12,605 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
24°C or below
$619 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$555 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,037 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$938 Vol.
6%
28°C
$1,203 Vol.
22%
29°C
$2,820 Vol.
45%
30°C
$2,561 Vol.
29%
31°C
$1,005 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$667 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$598 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$603 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity are limiting overnight radiative cooling across Hong Kong, keeping minimum temperatures anchored near 28–30 °C according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and consensus model runs. Urban heat-island effects and light winds further suppress cooling, consistent with recent observed lows of 26–28 °C earlier in the month. Seasonal outlooks for August–October indicate normal to above-normal temperatures, with no incoming cold fronts or significant tropical systems expected to alter the pattern before August 11. These conditions concentrate market-implied probability on the 28–30 °C range, as traders weigh the narrow historical variability of summer nighttime minima against minor forecast adjustments in the final model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$12,605Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity are limiting overnight radiative cooling across Hong Kong, keeping minimum temperatures anchored near 28–30 °C according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and consensus model runs. Urban heat-island effects and light winds further suppress cooling, consistent with recent observed lows of 26–28 °C earlier in the month. Seasonal outlooks for August–October indicate normal to above-normal temperatures, with no incoming cold fronts or significant tropical systems expected to alter the pattern before August 11. These conditions concentrate market-implied probability on the 28–30 °C range, as traders weigh the narrow historical variability of summer nighttime minima against minor forecast adjustments in the final model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$12,605Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity are limiting overnight radiative cooling across Hong Kong, keeping minimum temperatures anchored near 28–30 °C according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and consensus model runs. Urban heat-island effects and light winds further suppress cooling, consistent with recent observed lows of 26–28 °C earlier in the month. Seasonal outlooks for August–October indicate normal to above-normal temperatures, with no incoming cold fronts or significant tropical systems expected to alter the pattern before August 11. These conditions concentrate market-implied probability on the 28–30 °C range, as traders weigh the narrow historical variability of summer nighttime minima against minor forecast adjustments in the final model updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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