Current Met Office guidance, aligned with ECMWF model output, indicates a daytime maximum near 27°C across London on August 10 under building high pressure that favors warm-air advection from the continent. Ensemble spreads in recent runs produce the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C, with 27°C edging ahead at 31.5% as the mode. Minor differences hinge on exact cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and the urban heat-island effect, which can add 1–2°C locally. Above the long-term August average of roughly 22°C, this setup remains sensitive to small forecast shifts in the final 48-hour window before official station readings determine resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on August 10?
Highest temperature in London on August 10?
27°C 32%
26°C 28%
25°C 21%
28°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Aug 10, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
21%
26°C
28%
27°C
32%
28°C
15%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 32%
26°C 28%
25°C 21%
28°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Aug 10, 2026
22°C or below
$133 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$118 Vol.
3%
25°C
$949 Vol.
21%
26°C
$170 Vol.
28%
27°C
$203 Vol.
32%
28°C
$168 Vol.
15%
29°C
$152 Vol.
7%
30°C
$247 Vol.
2%
31°C
$178 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$419 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office guidance, aligned with ECMWF model output, indicates a daytime maximum near 27°C across London on August 10 under building high pressure that favors warm-air advection from the continent. Ensemble spreads in recent runs produce the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C, with 27°C edging ahead at 31.5% as the mode. Minor differences hinge on exact cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and the urban heat-island effect, which can add 1–2°C locally. Above the long-term August average of roughly 22°C, this setup remains sensitive to small forecast shifts in the final 48-hour window before official station readings determine resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
Volume
$2,852Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office guidance, aligned with ECMWF model output, indicates a daytime maximum near 27°C across London on August 10 under building high pressure that favors warm-air advection from the continent. Ensemble spreads in recent runs produce the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C, with 27°C edging ahead at 31.5% as the mode. Minor differences hinge on exact cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and the urban heat-island effect, which can add 1–2°C locally. Above the long-term August average of roughly 22°C, this setup remains sensitive to small forecast shifts in the final 48-hour window before official station readings determine resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,852Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Met Office guidance, aligned with ECMWF model output, indicates a daytime maximum near 27°C across London on August 10 under building high pressure that favors warm-air advection from the continent. Ensemble spreads in recent runs produce the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C, with 27°C edging ahead at 31.5% as the mode. Minor differences hinge on exact cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and the urban heat-island effect, which can add 1–2°C locally. Above the long-term August average of roughly 22°C, this setup remains sensitive to small forecast shifts in the final 48-hour window before official station readings determine resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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