Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place the August 10 maximum in Paris near 32–33°C under strengthening high pressure, light winds, and mostly clear skies that favor daytime heating. Recent model runs show slight upward revisions from earlier guidance, narrowing the range and supporting the market's tight clustering around these outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes above 35°C. Historical August baselines average 25–26°C, so current anomalies reflect a transient ridge rather than a broader heatwave. Traders will watch the next 24–48 hours of high-resolution updates and official vigilance maps for any shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns that could alter peak readings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on August 10?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 10?
32°C 36%
33°C 30%
31°C 18%
34°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 10, 2026
30°C or below
4%
31°C
18%
32°C
36%
33°C
30%
34°C
12%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
32°C 36%
33°C 30%
31°C 18%
34°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 10, 2026
30°C or below
$40 Vol.
4%
31°C
$37 Vol.
18%
32°C
$29 Vol.
36%
33°C
$6 Vol.
30%
34°C
$2 Vol.
12%
35°C
$51 Vol.
5%
36°C
$17 Vol.
2%
37°C
$66 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$469 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$469 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place the August 10 maximum in Paris near 32–33°C under strengthening high pressure, light winds, and mostly clear skies that favor daytime heating. Recent model runs show slight upward revisions from earlier guidance, narrowing the range and supporting the market's tight clustering around these outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes above 35°C. Historical August baselines average 25–26°C, so current anomalies reflect a transient ridge rather than a broader heatwave. Traders will watch the next 24–48 hours of high-resolution updates and official vigilance maps for any shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns that could alter peak readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
Volume
$1,307Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place the August 10 maximum in Paris near 32–33°C under strengthening high pressure, light winds, and mostly clear skies that favor daytime heating. Recent model runs show slight upward revisions from earlier guidance, narrowing the range and supporting the market's tight clustering around these outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes above 35°C. Historical August baselines average 25–26°C, so current anomalies reflect a transient ridge rather than a broader heatwave. Traders will watch the next 24–48 hours of high-resolution updates and official vigilance maps for any shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns that could alter peak readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,307Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place the August 10 maximum in Paris near 32–33°C under strengthening high pressure, light winds, and mostly clear skies that favor daytime heating. Recent model runs show slight upward revisions from earlier guidance, narrowing the range and supporting the market's tight clustering around these outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes above 35°C. Historical August baselines average 25–26°C, so current anomalies reflect a transient ridge rather than a broader heatwave. Traders will watch the next 24–48 hours of high-resolution updates and official vigilance maps for any shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns that could alter peak readings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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