Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 8 point to a daily minimum temperature of 27–28°C amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with highs near 33°C and moderate humidity. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring those two outcomes, as ensemble models show limited overnight cooling under prevailing southeasterly flow and possible scattered showers that could modestly suppress the low. Seasonal guidance issued in late July already indicated normal-to-above-normal temperatures for the period, consistent with long-term August baselines of 26–28°C minima, while urban heat effects and variable cloud cover introduce the narrow uncertainty separating 27°C from 28°C. No significant tropical cyclone activity is currently expected to alter steering patterns or enhance cooling before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?
27°C 37%
28°C 36%
29°C 21%
26°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
14%
27°C
37%
28°C
36%
29°C
21%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 37%
28°C 36%
29°C 21%
26°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
$27 Vol.
1%
23°C
$32 Vol.
1%
24°C
$24 Vol.
1%
25°C
$20 Vol.
5%
26°C
$0 Vol.
14%
27°C
$153 Vol.
37%
28°C
$248 Vol.
36%
29°C
$89 Vol.
21%
30°C
$632 Vol.
2%
31°C
$279 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$32 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 8 point to a daily minimum temperature of 27–28°C amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with highs near 33°C and moderate humidity. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring those two outcomes, as ensemble models show limited overnight cooling under prevailing southeasterly flow and possible scattered showers that could modestly suppress the low. Seasonal guidance issued in late July already indicated normal-to-above-normal temperatures for the period, consistent with long-term August baselines of 26–28°C minima, while urban heat effects and variable cloud cover introduce the narrow uncertainty separating 27°C from 28°C. No significant tropical cyclone activity is currently expected to alter steering patterns or enhance cooling before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,536Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 8 point to a daily minimum temperature of 27–28°C amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with highs near 33°C and moderate humidity. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring those two outcomes, as ensemble models show limited overnight cooling under prevailing southeasterly flow and possible scattered showers that could modestly suppress the low. Seasonal guidance issued in late July already indicated normal-to-above-normal temperatures for the period, consistent with long-term August baselines of 26–28°C minima, while urban heat effects and variable cloud cover introduce the narrow uncertainty separating 27°C from 28°C. No significant tropical cyclone activity is currently expected to alter steering patterns or enhance cooling before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,536Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 8 point to a daily minimum temperature of 27–28°C amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with highs near 33°C and moderate humidity. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring those two outcomes, as ensemble models show limited overnight cooling under prevailing southeasterly flow and possible scattered showers that could modestly suppress the low. Seasonal guidance issued in late July already indicated normal-to-above-normal temperatures for the period, consistent with long-term August baselines of 26–28°C minima, while urban heat effects and variable cloud cover introduce the narrow uncertainty separating 27°C from 28°C. No significant tropical cyclone activity is currently expected to alter steering patterns or enhance cooling before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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