Meteorological forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate stable subtropical summer conditions on August 6, 2026, with minimum temperatures expected to reach 26°C during the overnight or early morning hours under typical high humidity and light wind patterns. This aligns with climatological baselines for early August, where daily lows average near 26°C amid normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures and no active cold fronts or tropical systems. Trader consensus at 99% for 26°C reflects this strong model agreement and historical precedent, where deviations below 25°C are rare without major synoptic shifts. An unexpected surge in cloud cover or revised observational data could theoretically alter the reading, though such changes remain improbable this close to resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?
26°C 99.1%
25°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$58,034 Vol.
$58,034 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
99%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.1%
25°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$58,034 Vol.
$58,034 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
99%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Meteorological forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate stable subtropical summer conditions on August 6, 2026, with minimum temperatures expected to reach 26°C during the overnight or early morning hours under typical high humidity and light wind patterns. This aligns with climatological baselines for early August, where daily lows average near 26°C amid normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures and no active cold fronts or tropical systems. Trader consensus at 99% for 26°C reflects this strong model agreement and historical precedent, where deviations below 25°C are rare without major synoptic shifts. An unexpected surge in cloud cover or revised observational data could theoretically alter the reading, though such changes remain improbable this close to resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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