Recent forecast guidance from sources like AccuWeather and regional models points to a likely high of 34–36°C in Guangzhou on August 6 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity and weak steering flows limiting rapid changes. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 36–37°C (combined ~75.5%) reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer heating, urban heat-island amplification, and possible localized subsidence under a weak ridge, while lower probabilities for 35°C or below align with climatological August averages near 34°C and any increased cloud cover or sea-breeze effects. Official Chinese meteorological updates and ensemble runs expected in the next 12–24 hours will clarify whether daytime temperatures push toward the upper end of the range or remain moderated.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 6?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 6?
37°C 43%
36°C 37%
35°C 13%
38°C 9%
BARU
$21,041 Vol.
BARU
$21,041 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
13%
36°C
37%
37°C
43%
38°C
9%
39°C or higher
1%
37°C 43%
36°C 37%
35°C 13%
38°C 9%
BARU
$21,041 Vol.
BARU
$21,041 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
29°C or below
$395 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$374 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$343 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,035 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$306 Vol.
2%
34°C
$628 Vol.
3%
35°C
$1,050 Vol.
13%
36°C
$10,200 Vol.
37%
37°C
$2,970 Vol.
43%
38°C
$2,148 Vol.
9%
39°C or higher
$1,592 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from sources like AccuWeather and regional models points to a likely high of 34–36°C in Guangzhou on August 6 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity and weak steering flows limiting rapid changes. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 36–37°C (combined ~75.5%) reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer heating, urban heat-island amplification, and possible localized subsidence under a weak ridge, while lower probabilities for 35°C or below align with climatological August averages near 34°C and any increased cloud cover or sea-breeze effects. Official Chinese meteorological updates and ensemble runs expected in the next 12–24 hours will clarify whether daytime temperatures push toward the upper end of the range or remain moderated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$21,041Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from sources like AccuWeather and regional models points to a likely high of 34–36°C in Guangzhou on August 6 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity and weak steering flows limiting rapid changes. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 36–37°C (combined ~75.5%) reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer heating, urban heat-island amplification, and possible localized subsidence under a weak ridge, while lower probabilities for 35°C or below align with climatological August averages near 34°C and any increased cloud cover or sea-breeze effects. Official Chinese meteorological updates and ensemble runs expected in the next 12–24 hours will clarify whether daytime temperatures push toward the upper end of the range or remain moderated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,041Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from sources like AccuWeather and regional models points to a likely high of 34–36°C in Guangzhou on August 6 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity and weak steering flows limiting rapid changes. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 36–37°C (combined ~75.5%) reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer heating, urban heat-island amplification, and possible localized subsidence under a weak ridge, while lower probabilities for 35°C or below align with climatological August averages near 34°C and any increased cloud cover or sea-breeze effects. Official Chinese meteorological updates and ensemble runs expected in the next 12–24 hours will clarify whether daytime temperatures push toward the upper end of the range or remain moderated.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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