**Chongqing's subtropical monsoon climate and basin topography typically produce August daily highs averaging 32–34 °C, with humidity trapping heat and limiting nighttime cooling.** Ensemble forecasts from global and regional models currently cluster the most probable maximum temperature for August 6 around 33–34 °C, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and modest daytime heating after the unusually cool 24 °C reading recorded on August 3. Recent model runs show limited spread, with only small probabilities assigned to a brief warm surge pushing readings to 35 °C or a lingering moisture plume keeping values at or below 32 °C. Traders have placed the strongest implied probability on 34 °C (43.5 %) because that outcome aligns with both climatological normals and the latest consensus guidance, while lower-probability tails (36 °C or higher at 3.1 %) remain discounted absent signs of intensifying subtropical ridging or clearer skies. Updated short-range model output and any revised CMA guidance issued on August 5 will be the key near-term drivers of further shifts in these market-implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 6?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 6?
34°C 44%
33°C 25%
35°C 18%
32°C 7%
BARU
$19,162 Vol.
BARU
$19,162 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
7%
33°C
25%
34°C
44%
35°C
18%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
3%
34°C 44%
33°C 25%
35°C 18%
32°C 7%
BARU
$19,162 Vol.
BARU
$19,162 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
$253 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$287 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,757 Vol.
1%
30°C
$850 Vol.
1%
31°C
$752 Vol.
3%
32°C
$951 Vol.
7%
33°C
$7,062 Vol.
25%
34°C
$2,791 Vol.
44%
35°C
$2,072 Vol.
18%
36°C
$932 Vol.
4%
37°C or higher
$1,455 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Chongqing's subtropical monsoon climate and basin topography typically produce August daily highs averaging 32–34 °C, with humidity trapping heat and limiting nighttime cooling.** Ensemble forecasts from global and regional models currently cluster the most probable maximum temperature for August 6 around 33–34 °C, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and modest daytime heating after the unusually cool 24 °C reading recorded on August 3. Recent model runs show limited spread, with only small probabilities assigned to a brief warm surge pushing readings to 35 °C or a lingering moisture plume keeping values at or below 32 °C. Traders have placed the strongest implied probability on 34 °C (43.5 %) because that outcome aligns with both climatological normals and the latest consensus guidance, while lower-probability tails (36 °C or higher at 3.1 %) remain discounted absent signs of intensifying subtropical ridging or clearer skies. Updated short-range model output and any revised CMA guidance issued on August 5 will be the key near-term drivers of further shifts in these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$19,162Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Chongqing's subtropical monsoon climate and basin topography typically produce August daily highs averaging 32–34 °C, with humidity trapping heat and limiting nighttime cooling.** Ensemble forecasts from global and regional models currently cluster the most probable maximum temperature for August 6 around 33–34 °C, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and modest daytime heating after the unusually cool 24 °C reading recorded on August 3. Recent model runs show limited spread, with only small probabilities assigned to a brief warm surge pushing readings to 35 °C or a lingering moisture plume keeping values at or below 32 °C. Traders have placed the strongest implied probability on 34 °C (43.5 %) because that outcome aligns with both climatological normals and the latest consensus guidance, while lower-probability tails (36 °C or higher at 3.1 %) remain discounted absent signs of intensifying subtropical ridging or clearer skies. Updated short-range model output and any revised CMA guidance issued on August 5 will be the key near-term drivers of further shifts in these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,162Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Chongqing's subtropical monsoon climate and basin topography typically produce August daily highs averaging 32–34 °C, with humidity trapping heat and limiting nighttime cooling.** Ensemble forecasts from global and regional models currently cluster the most probable maximum temperature for August 6 around 33–34 °C, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and modest daytime heating after the unusually cool 24 °C reading recorded on August 3. Recent model runs show limited spread, with only small probabilities assigned to a brief warm surge pushing readings to 35 °C or a lingering moisture plume keeping values at or below 32 °C. Traders have placed the strongest implied probability on 34 °C (43.5 %) because that outcome aligns with both climatological normals and the latest consensus guidance, while lower-probability tails (36 °C or higher at 3.1 %) remain discounted absent signs of intensifying subtropical ridging or clearer skies. Updated short-range model output and any revised CMA guidance issued on August 5 will be the key near-term drivers of further shifts in these market-implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan