Current model consensus for Istanbul points to a daily maximum near 29–30°C on August 8, aligning with the market’s near-even split between 28°C and 29°C. Seasonal climatology shows August highs averaging 28–29°C, driven by strong solar insolation under subtropical high pressure, moderated by the city’s position between the Black Sea, Sea of Marmara, and Bosporus, where sea breezes often cap afternoon peaks. Recent extended forecasts indicate mostly sunny conditions with light northerly flow, favoring modest warming but leaving room for small downward adjustments if cloud cover or stronger onshore winds develop. Short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify whether the peak reaches or falls short of 30°C, the key threshold separating the leading outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 8?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 8?
29°C 43%
28°C 36%
30°C 12%
27°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 8, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
11%
28°C
36%
29°C
43%
30°C
12%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
2%
29°C 43%
28°C 36%
30°C 12%
27°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 8, 2026
23°C or below
$131 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$82 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$39 Vol.
1%
26°C
$101 Vol.
3%
27°C
$53 Vol.
11%
28°C
$45 Vol.
36%
29°C
$87 Vol.
43%
30°C
$44 Vol.
12%
31°C
$50 Vol.
2%
32°C
$37 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus for Istanbul points to a daily maximum near 29–30°C on August 8, aligning with the market’s near-even split between 28°C and 29°C. Seasonal climatology shows August highs averaging 28–29°C, driven by strong solar insolation under subtropical high pressure, moderated by the city’s position between the Black Sea, Sea of Marmara, and Bosporus, where sea breezes often cap afternoon peaks. Recent extended forecasts indicate mostly sunny conditions with light northerly flow, favoring modest warming but leaving room for small downward adjustments if cloud cover or stronger onshore winds develop. Short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify whether the peak reaches or falls short of 30°C, the key threshold separating the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$674Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus for Istanbul points to a daily maximum near 29–30°C on August 8, aligning with the market’s near-even split between 28°C and 29°C. Seasonal climatology shows August highs averaging 28–29°C, driven by strong solar insolation under subtropical high pressure, moderated by the city’s position between the Black Sea, Sea of Marmara, and Bosporus, where sea breezes often cap afternoon peaks. Recent extended forecasts indicate mostly sunny conditions with light northerly flow, favoring modest warming but leaving room for small downward adjustments if cloud cover or stronger onshore winds develop. Short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify whether the peak reaches or falls short of 30°C, the key threshold separating the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$674Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus for Istanbul points to a daily maximum near 29–30°C on August 8, aligning with the market’s near-even split between 28°C and 29°C. Seasonal climatology shows August highs averaging 28–29°C, driven by strong solar insolation under subtropical high pressure, moderated by the city’s position between the Black Sea, Sea of Marmara, and Bosporus, where sea breezes often cap afternoon peaks. Recent extended forecasts indicate mostly sunny conditions with light northerly flow, favoring modest warming but leaving room for small downward adjustments if cloud cover or stronger onshore winds develop. Short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify whether the peak reaches or falls short of 30°C, the key threshold separating the leading outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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