**Trader sentiment for Shanghai's August 8 highest temperature centers on 32–33°C as the most probable range, reflecting model consensus for a typical early-August day moderated by cloud cover and showers.** Official forecasts indicate daytime maxima near 32–34°C (90–93°F) under overcast skies with scattered thunderstorms, consistent with the East Asian summer monsoon and lingering influence of the western Pacific subtropical high. High humidity above 70% and potential rainfall reduce solar insolation, limiting peak heating compared to clearer conditions. Shanghai's urban heat island effect typically adds 1–2°C to official readings, while recent heat warnings on August 6 highlight elevated baseline warmth. Minor model variations in precipitation timing create the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C outcomes, with lower probabilities for 34°C+ tied to any unexpected clearing. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and local observations on the morning of August 8 will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 8?
32°C 43%
33°C 38%
34°C 9%
31°C 9%
$19,377 Vol.
$19,377 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
9%
32°C
43%
33°C
38%
34°C
9%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 43%
33°C 38%
34°C 9%
31°C 9%
$19,377 Vol.
$19,377 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
9%
32°C
43%
33°C
38%
34°C
9%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Shanghai's August 8 highest temperature centers on 32–33°C as the most probable range, reflecting model consensus for a typical early-August day moderated by cloud cover and showers.** Official forecasts indicate daytime maxima near 32–34°C (90–93°F) under overcast skies with scattered thunderstorms, consistent with the East Asian summer monsoon and lingering influence of the western Pacific subtropical high. High humidity above 70% and potential rainfall reduce solar insolation, limiting peak heating compared to clearer conditions. Shanghai's urban heat island effect typically adds 1–2°C to official readings, while recent heat warnings on August 6 highlight elevated baseline warmth. Minor model variations in precipitation timing create the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C outcomes, with lower probabilities for 34°C+ tied to any unexpected clearing. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and local observations on the morning of August 8 will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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