Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models highlight a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula as the main driver keeping August 8 peak temperatures in Seoul-Incheon clustered around 34–36 °C. Current heatwave conditions, with observed highs near 37 °C and dew points supporting strong humidity, provide a warm baseline, yet increasing mid-level moisture and possible afternoon convection introduce slight cooling potential that caps the upper tail of outcomes. Historical August means near 30–31 °C underscore the anomaly, while resolution hinges on official Korea Meteorological Administration readings at Incheon International Airport; the next 48-hour model cycles and any revised short-range guidance will likely refine the narrow spread among leading probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 8?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 8?
35°C 31%
36°C 23%
34°C 22%
33°C 19%
BARU
BARU
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
19%
34°C
22%
35°C
31%
36°C
23%
37°C
7%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 31%
36°C 23%
34°C 22%
33°C 19%
BARU
BARU
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
$119 Vol.
1%
32°C
$243 Vol.
2%
33°C
$628 Vol.
19%
34°C
$146 Vol.
22%
35°C
$154 Vol.
31%
36°C
$135 Vol.
23%
37°C
$90 Vol.
7%
38°C
$116 Vol.
3%
39°C
$98 Vol.
1%
40°C
$137 Vol.
1%
41°C or higher
$202 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models highlight a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula as the main driver keeping August 8 peak temperatures in Seoul-Incheon clustered around 34–36 °C. Current heatwave conditions, with observed highs near 37 °C and dew points supporting strong humidity, provide a warm baseline, yet increasing mid-level moisture and possible afternoon convection introduce slight cooling potential that caps the upper tail of outcomes. Historical August means near 30–31 °C underscore the anomaly, while resolution hinges on official Korea Meteorological Administration readings at Incheon International Airport; the next 48-hour model cycles and any revised short-range guidance will likely refine the narrow spread among leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$2,068Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models highlight a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula as the main driver keeping August 8 peak temperatures in Seoul-Incheon clustered around 34–36 °C. Current heatwave conditions, with observed highs near 37 °C and dew points supporting strong humidity, provide a warm baseline, yet increasing mid-level moisture and possible afternoon convection introduce slight cooling potential that caps the upper tail of outcomes. Historical August means near 30–31 °C underscore the anomaly, while resolution hinges on official Korea Meteorological Administration readings at Incheon International Airport; the next 48-hour model cycles and any revised short-range guidance will likely refine the narrow spread among leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,068Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models highlight a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula as the main driver keeping August 8 peak temperatures in Seoul-Incheon clustered around 34–36 °C. Current heatwave conditions, with observed highs near 37 °C and dew points supporting strong humidity, provide a warm baseline, yet increasing mid-level moisture and possible afternoon convection introduce slight cooling potential that caps the upper tail of outcomes. Historical August means near 30–31 °C underscore the anomaly, while resolution hinges on official Korea Meteorological Administration readings at Incheon International Airport; the next 48-hour model cycles and any revised short-range guidance will likely refine the narrow spread among leading probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan