Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 10 will likely settle near 26–27°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with high humidity, scattered showers, and light winds limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 27°C (39%) and 26°C (29%) outcomes, as climatological baselines show August nocturnal minima averaging 25–26°C in the region. Short-term model consensus and current steering patterns support these probabilities, though revisions in precipitation or cloud cover could shift the exact minimum before resolution. Traders weigh these atmospheric factors against historical variability for the two-day window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 10?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 10?
27°C 42%
26°C 27%
28°C 19%
25°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 10, 2026
21°C or below
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
7%
26°C
27%
27°C
42%
28°C
19%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 42%
26°C 27%
28°C 19%
25°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 10, 2026
21°C or below
$10 Vol.
2%
22°C
$481 Vol.
2%
23°C
$468 Vol.
3%
24°C
$353 Vol.
6%
25°C
$0 Vol.
7%
26°C
$43 Vol.
27%
27°C
$701 Vol.
42%
28°C
$37 Vol.
19%
29°C
$19 Vol.
5%
30°C
$27 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$27 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 10 will likely settle near 26–27°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with high humidity, scattered showers, and light winds limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 27°C (39%) and 26°C (29%) outcomes, as climatological baselines show August nocturnal minima averaging 25–26°C in the region. Short-term model consensus and current steering patterns support these probabilities, though revisions in precipitation or cloud cover could shift the exact minimum before resolution. Traders weigh these atmospheric factors against historical variability for the two-day window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,167Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 10 will likely settle near 26–27°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with high humidity, scattered showers, and light winds limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 27°C (39%) and 26°C (29%) outcomes, as climatological baselines show August nocturnal minima averaging 25–26°C in the region. Short-term model consensus and current steering patterns support these probabilities, though revisions in precipitation or cloud cover could shift the exact minimum before resolution. Traders weigh these atmospheric factors against historical variability for the two-day window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,167Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 10 will likely settle near 26–27°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with high humidity, scattered showers, and light winds limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 27°C (39%) and 26°C (29%) outcomes, as climatological baselines show August nocturnal minima averaging 25–26°C in the region. Short-term model consensus and current steering patterns support these probabilities, though revisions in precipitation or cloud cover could shift the exact minimum before resolution. Traders weigh these atmospheric factors against historical variability for the two-day window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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