Persistent subtropical high pressure and a warm, humid air mass over Hong Kong have limited nocturnal radiational cooling, keeping overnight minimum temperatures near 30°C on August 12 according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance. Current observations show early-morning readings around 30°C with high humidity restricting further drops, while seasonal norms and recent model runs align with this elevated baseline rather than the typical 26–28°C lows. Trader consensus at 89% implied probability for a 30°C minimum reflects these stable atmospheric conditions and the low likelihood of significant cooling before the daily minimum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 12?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 12?
30°C 89.6%
29°C 11%
28°C 3%
27°C <1%
BARU
$55,677 Vol.
BARU
$55,677 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
11%
30°C
90%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 89.6%
29°C 11%
28°C 3%
27°C <1%
BARU
$55,677 Vol.
BARU
$55,677 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
$1,720 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,062 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,862 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$6,051 Vol.
1%
28°C
$12,274 Vol.
3%
29°C
$12,137 Vol.
11%
30°C
$12,473 Vol.
90%
31°C
$3,153 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$652 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$612 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$682 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent subtropical high pressure and a warm, humid air mass over Hong Kong have limited nocturnal radiational cooling, keeping overnight minimum temperatures near 30°C on August 12 according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance. Current observations show early-morning readings around 30°C with high humidity restricting further drops, while seasonal norms and recent model runs align with this elevated baseline rather than the typical 26–28°C lows. Trader consensus at 89% implied probability for a 30°C minimum reflects these stable atmospheric conditions and the low likelihood of significant cooling before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$55,677Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent subtropical high pressure and a warm, humid air mass over Hong Kong have limited nocturnal radiational cooling, keeping overnight minimum temperatures near 30°C on August 12 according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance. Current observations show early-morning readings around 30°C with high humidity restricting further drops, while seasonal norms and recent model runs align with this elevated baseline rather than the typical 26–28°C lows. Trader consensus at 89% implied probability for a 30°C minimum reflects these stable atmospheric conditions and the low likelihood of significant cooling before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$55,677Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent subtropical high pressure and a warm, humid air mass over Hong Kong have limited nocturnal radiational cooling, keeping overnight minimum temperatures near 30°C on August 12 according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance. Current observations show early-morning readings around 30°C with high humidity restricting further drops, while seasonal norms and recent model runs align with this elevated baseline rather than the typical 26–28°C lows. Trader consensus at 89% implied probability for a 30°C minimum reflects these stable atmospheric conditions and the low likelihood of significant cooling before the daily minimum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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