Environment Canada’s official forecast for sunny skies and a 28°C high in Toronto on August 11 anchors trader sentiment, placing this outcome at the market lead of 43.5% implied probability. Strong solar insolation under mostly clear conditions supports peak daytime heating, while ensemble model guidance clusters tightly around 27–29°C amid modest uncertainty from thin cloud timing or localized moisture that could limit or briefly exceed the central value. This sits modestly above mid-August climatological normals near 24–26°C due to recent pattern shifts favoring clearer skies. Upcoming model runs and any Environment Canada revisions will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Toronto on August 11?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 11?
28°C 44%
29°C 29%
27°C 22%
26°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 11, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
22%
28°C
44%
29°C
29%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
1%
28°C 44%
29°C 29%
27°C 22%
26°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 11, 2026
21°C or below
$429 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$345 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$832 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$799 Vol.
1%
25°C
$73 Vol.
1%
26°C
$203 Vol.
4%
27°C
$381 Vol.
22%
28°C
$377 Vol.
44%
29°C
$616 Vol.
29%
30°C
$196 Vol.
4%
31°C or higher
$238 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Environment Canada’s official forecast for sunny skies and a 28°C high in Toronto on August 11 anchors trader sentiment, placing this outcome at the market lead of 43.5% implied probability. Strong solar insolation under mostly clear conditions supports peak daytime heating, while ensemble model guidance clusters tightly around 27–29°C amid modest uncertainty from thin cloud timing or localized moisture that could limit or briefly exceed the central value. This sits modestly above mid-August climatological normals near 24–26°C due to recent pattern shifts favoring clearer skies. Upcoming model runs and any Environment Canada revisions will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$4,490Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Environment Canada’s official forecast for sunny skies and a 28°C high in Toronto on August 11 anchors trader sentiment, placing this outcome at the market lead of 43.5% implied probability. Strong solar insolation under mostly clear conditions supports peak daytime heating, while ensemble model guidance clusters tightly around 27–29°C amid modest uncertainty from thin cloud timing or localized moisture that could limit or briefly exceed the central value. This sits modestly above mid-August climatological normals near 24–26°C due to recent pattern shifts favoring clearer skies. Upcoming model runs and any Environment Canada revisions will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,490Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada’s official forecast for sunny skies and a 28°C high in Toronto on August 11 anchors trader sentiment, placing this outcome at the market lead of 43.5% implied probability. Strong solar insolation under mostly clear conditions supports peak daytime heating, while ensemble model guidance clusters tightly around 27–29°C amid modest uncertainty from thin cloud timing or localized moisture that could limit or briefly exceed the central value. This sits modestly above mid-August climatological normals near 24–26°C due to recent pattern shifts favoring clearer skies. Upcoming model runs and any Environment Canada revisions will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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