Recent forecast guidance from sources like AccuWeather and regional models points to overnight lows near 26–27°C in Shanghai on August 12, driven by high humidity, cloud cover, and light rain or isolated thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with typical mid-August patterns under monsoon influence, where daily minima often range 24–28°C amid elevated moisture levels and weak steering flows. Early August observations of 26–28°C lows support the current trader consensus favoring 27°C (51% implied probability) and 26°C (31.5%), while lower outcomes would require clearer skies or stronger winds not indicated in latest runs. Updated model ensembles ahead of the date could shift probabilities if rain timing or intensity changes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 12?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 12?
27°C 52%
26°C 32%
25°C 15%
28°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 12, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
9%
25°C
15%
26°C
32%
27°C
52%
28°C
12%
29°C
9%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 52%
26°C 32%
25°C 15%
28°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 12, 2026
21°C or below
$32 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$34 Vol.
2%
23°C
$6 Vol.
5%
24°C
$30 Vol.
9%
25°C
$0 Vol.
15%
26°C
$0 Vol.
32%
27°C
$20 Vol.
52%
28°C
$0 Vol.
12%
29°C
$0 Vol.
9%
30°C
$18 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$22 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from sources like AccuWeather and regional models points to overnight lows near 26–27°C in Shanghai on August 12, driven by high humidity, cloud cover, and light rain or isolated thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with typical mid-August patterns under monsoon influence, where daily minima often range 24–28°C amid elevated moisture levels and weak steering flows. Early August observations of 26–28°C lows support the current trader consensus favoring 27°C (51% implied probability) and 26°C (31.5%), while lower outcomes would require clearer skies or stronger winds not indicated in latest runs. Updated model ensembles ahead of the date could shift probabilities if rain timing or intensity changes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$161Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from sources like AccuWeather and regional models points to overnight lows near 26–27°C in Shanghai on August 12, driven by high humidity, cloud cover, and light rain or isolated thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with typical mid-August patterns under monsoon influence, where daily minima often range 24–28°C amid elevated moisture levels and weak steering flows. Early August observations of 26–28°C lows support the current trader consensus favoring 27°C (51% implied probability) and 26°C (31.5%), while lower outcomes would require clearer skies or stronger winds not indicated in latest runs. Updated model ensembles ahead of the date could shift probabilities if rain timing or intensity changes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$161Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from sources like AccuWeather and regional models points to overnight lows near 26–27°C in Shanghai on August 12, driven by high humidity, cloud cover, and light rain or isolated thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with typical mid-August patterns under monsoon influence, where daily minima often range 24–28°C amid elevated moisture levels and weak steering flows. Early August observations of 26–28°C lows support the current trader consensus favoring 27°C (51% implied probability) and 26°C (31.5%), while lower outcomes would require clearer skies or stronger winds not indicated in latest runs. Updated model ensembles ahead of the date could shift probabilities if rain timing or intensity changes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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