Recent JMA guidance and extended-range models indicate typical midsummer conditions over the Kanto plain, with the strengthening Pacific High promoting subsidence, clear skies, and daytime highs centered near the 31.7 °C August climatological normal. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect support maximum temperatures in the 30–32 °C range for 10 August, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those three outcomes. No significant frontal passage or typhoon influence is projected within the next 48 hours that would alter the thermal regime, though ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover leaves room for modest day-to-day variability. Updated short-range guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency is expected to narrow uncertainty ahead of the observation window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 10?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 10?
31°C 36%
30°C 24%
32°C 24%
33°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 10, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
7%
30°C
24%
31°C
36%
32°C
24%
33°C
10%
34°C or higher
3%
31°C 36%
30°C 24%
32°C 24%
33°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 10, 2026
24°C or below
$472 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$474 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$154 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$299 Vol.
2%
29°C
$207 Vol.
7%
30°C
$93 Vol.
24%
31°C
$185 Vol.
36%
32°C
$427 Vol.
24%
33°C
$352 Vol.
10%
34°C or higher
$99 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA guidance and extended-range models indicate typical midsummer conditions over the Kanto plain, with the strengthening Pacific High promoting subsidence, clear skies, and daytime highs centered near the 31.7 °C August climatological normal. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect support maximum temperatures in the 30–32 °C range for 10 August, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those three outcomes. No significant frontal passage or typhoon influence is projected within the next 48 hours that would alter the thermal regime, though ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover leaves room for modest day-to-day variability. Updated short-range guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency is expected to narrow uncertainty ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$2,847Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA guidance and extended-range models indicate typical midsummer conditions over the Kanto plain, with the strengthening Pacific High promoting subsidence, clear skies, and daytime highs centered near the 31.7 °C August climatological normal. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect support maximum temperatures in the 30–32 °C range for 10 August, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those three outcomes. No significant frontal passage or typhoon influence is projected within the next 48 hours that would alter the thermal regime, though ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover leaves room for modest day-to-day variability. Updated short-range guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency is expected to narrow uncertainty ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,847Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent JMA guidance and extended-range models indicate typical midsummer conditions over the Kanto plain, with the strengthening Pacific High promoting subsidence, clear skies, and daytime highs centered near the 31.7 °C August climatological normal. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect support maximum temperatures in the 30–32 °C range for 10 August, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those three outcomes. No significant frontal passage or typhoon influence is projected within the next 48 hours that would alter the thermal regime, though ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover leaves room for modest day-to-day variability. Updated short-range guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency is expected to narrow uncertainty ahead of the observation window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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