Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high in the upper 70s to low 80s for Chicago on August 11, reflecting near-normal early-August conditions amid a stagnant pattern with elevated moisture and thunderstorm chances that limit daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts from NOAA emphasize variable cloud cover and possible convective outflows moderating peak temperatures, consistent with climatological highs near 83 °F yet tempered by lake-influenced southerly flow. Trader consensus across the closely bunched 78–83 °F outcomes captures this narrow range of uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any showers, with resolution hinging on official Chicago O’Hare observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chicago on August 11?
80-81°F 36%
82-83°F 25%
78-79°F 24%
76-77°F 9%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 36%
82-83°F 25%
78-79°F 24%
76-77°F 9%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high in the upper 70s to low 80s for Chicago on August 11, reflecting near-normal early-August conditions amid a stagnant pattern with elevated moisture and thunderstorm chances that limit daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts from NOAA emphasize variable cloud cover and possible convective outflows moderating peak temperatures, consistent with climatological highs near 83 °F yet tempered by lake-influenced southerly flow. Trader consensus across the closely bunched 78–83 °F outcomes captures this narrow range of uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any showers, with resolution hinging on official Chicago O’Hare observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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