Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate Miami highs near 90–93°F on August 11 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, including strong diurnal heating under a persistent Bermuda high, light easterly flow, and afternoon sea-breeze convergence that caps extreme warming. These factors align with climatological normals of 88–91°F and explain the dominant 92–93°F outcome implied by trader positioning. Limited tropical moisture or cloud cover in the latest short-range forecasts supports the narrow spread around the mid-90s, while heat-index values near 105–110°F reflect high boundary-layer humidity rather than elevated dry-bulb readings. Updated model runs tonight will refine any late adjustments from sea-surface temperatures or convective timing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Miami on August 11?
92-93°F 69%
90-91°F 16%
94-95°F 16%
88-89°F 1.6%
$14,183 Vol.
$14,183 Vol.
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
16%
92-93°F
69%
94-95°F
16%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 69%
90-91°F 16%
94-95°F 16%
88-89°F 1.6%
$14,183 Vol.
$14,183 Vol.
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
16%
92-93°F
69%
94-95°F
16%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate Miami highs near 90–93°F on August 11 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, including strong diurnal heating under a persistent Bermuda high, light easterly flow, and afternoon sea-breeze convergence that caps extreme warming. These factors align with climatological normals of 88–91°F and explain the dominant 92–93°F outcome implied by trader positioning. Limited tropical moisture or cloud cover in the latest short-range forecasts supports the narrow spread around the mid-90s, while heat-index values near 105–110°F reflect high boundary-layer humidity rather than elevated dry-bulb readings. Updated model runs tonight will refine any late adjustments from sea-surface temperatures or convective timing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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