Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 11 centers on the tight contest between 76-77°F and 78-79°F outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in short-range model guidance for coastal Southern California. Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific high are expected to moderate daytime heating, keeping maximum temperatures near or slightly below the seasonal average of 82-85°F. Key differentiating factors include the depth and timing of the inversion layer, sea surface temperatures around 68-70°F, and any subtle shifts in the 500 mb ridge that could allow greater mixing or clearer skies by afternoon. Ensemble spreads from NOAA and other agencies show modest variability in these parameters, sustaining the near-even probabilities while lower-probability bins capture risks of stronger warming or deeper cloud cover.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 11?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 11?
78-79°F 44%
76-77°F 43%
74-75°F 8%
80-81°F 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 11, 2026
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
43%
78-79°F
44%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 44%
76-77°F 43%
74-75°F 8%
80-81°F 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 11, 2026
69°F or below
$88 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$32 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$98 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$258 Vol.
8%
76-77°F
$325 Vol.
43%
78-79°F
$463 Vol.
44%
80-81°F
$149 Vol.
7%
82-83°F
$118 Vol.
3%
84-85°F
$41 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$199 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$173 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 11 centers on the tight contest between 76-77°F and 78-79°F outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in short-range model guidance for coastal Southern California. Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific high are expected to moderate daytime heating, keeping maximum temperatures near or slightly below the seasonal average of 82-85°F. Key differentiating factors include the depth and timing of the inversion layer, sea surface temperatures around 68-70°F, and any subtle shifts in the 500 mb ridge that could allow greater mixing or clearer skies by afternoon. Ensemble spreads from NOAA and other agencies show modest variability in these parameters, sustaining the near-even probabilities while lower-probability bins capture risks of stronger warming or deeper cloud cover.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,944Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 11 centers on the tight contest between 76-77°F and 78-79°F outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in short-range model guidance for coastal Southern California. Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific high are expected to moderate daytime heating, keeping maximum temperatures near or slightly below the seasonal average of 82-85°F. Key differentiating factors include the depth and timing of the inversion layer, sea surface temperatures around 68-70°F, and any subtle shifts in the 500 mb ridge that could allow greater mixing or clearer skies by afternoon. Ensemble spreads from NOAA and other agencies show modest variability in these parameters, sustaining the near-even probabilities while lower-probability bins capture risks of stronger warming or deeper cloud cover.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,944Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 11 centers on the tight contest between 76-77°F and 78-79°F outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in short-range model guidance for coastal Southern California. Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific high are expected to moderate daytime heating, keeping maximum temperatures near or slightly below the seasonal average of 82-85°F. Key differentiating factors include the depth and timing of the inversion layer, sea surface temperatures around 68-70°F, and any subtle shifts in the 500 mb ridge that could allow greater mixing or clearer skies by afternoon. Ensemble spreads from NOAA and other agencies show modest variability in these parameters, sustaining the near-even probabilities while lower-probability bins capture risks of stronger warming or deeper cloud cover.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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