Current forecasts from models like those informing AccuWeather place Chongqing’s August 12 maximum in the mid-30s°C range, aligning with the market’s clustered 35–37°C outcomes. The city’s subtropical monsoon climate, urban heat-island effect, and high baseline humidity typically produce afternoon peaks 2–4°C above regional averages when skies remain mostly clear. Minor differences among leading probabilities hinge on the precise timing of any scattered convection or slight variations in boundary-layer mixing; a delayed shower or stronger southerly flow could cap the reading near 35°C, while drier conditions support a 36–37°C peak. No major synoptic shift is expected before resolution, keeping trader consensus tightly grouped around seasonal norms.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 12?
35°C 34%
36°C 29%
37°C 27%
34°C 10%
31°C or below
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
3%
34°C
10%
35°C
34%
36°C
29%
37°C
27%
38°C
3%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
7%
35°C 34%
36°C 29%
37°C 27%
34°C 10%
31°C or below
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
3%
34°C
10%
35°C
34%
36°C
29%
37°C
27%
38°C
3%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models like those informing AccuWeather place Chongqing’s August 12 maximum in the mid-30s°C range, aligning with the market’s clustered 35–37°C outcomes. The city’s subtropical monsoon climate, urban heat-island effect, and high baseline humidity typically produce afternoon peaks 2–4°C above regional averages when skies remain mostly clear. Minor differences among leading probabilities hinge on the precise timing of any scattered convection or slight variations in boundary-layer mixing; a delayed shower or stronger southerly flow could cap the reading near 35°C, while drier conditions support a 36–37°C peak. No major synoptic shift is expected before resolution, keeping trader consensus tightly grouped around seasonal norms.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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