Current forecasts from NOAA and private models point to an overnight low of 68–72°F in New York City on August 16, driven by mild southwesterly flow, limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, and the absence of a strong frontal passage. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting on 70–71°F (49.5%) and 72–73°F (31.5%), which reflect typical late-summer minimums when Central Park averages near 68°F. The warmer-than-average August outlook from the Climate Prediction Center has tempered expectations for sharper cooling, while recent model runs show only modest day-to-day variability ahead of the overnight period.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in NYC on August 16?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 16?
70-71°F 50%
72-73°F 32%
68-69°F 11%
74-75°F 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
50%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 50%
72-73°F 32%
68-69°F 11%
74-75°F 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
63°F or below
$90 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$132 Vol.
3%
66-67°F
$64 Vol.
5%
68-69°F
$152 Vol.
11%
70-71°F
$566 Vol.
50%
72-73°F
$195 Vol.
32%
74-75°F
$356 Vol.
6%
76-77°F
$482 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$462 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$10 Vol.
<1%
82°F or higher
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from NOAA and private models point to an overnight low of 68–72°F in New York City on August 16, driven by mild southwesterly flow, limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, and the absence of a strong frontal passage. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting on 70–71°F (49.5%) and 72–73°F (31.5%), which reflect typical late-summer minimums when Central Park averages near 68°F. The warmer-than-average August outlook from the Climate Prediction Center has tempered expectations for sharper cooling, while recent model runs show only modest day-to-day variability ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$2,519Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from NOAA and private models point to an overnight low of 68–72°F in New York City on August 16, driven by mild southwesterly flow, limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, and the absence of a strong frontal passage. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting on 70–71°F (49.5%) and 72–73°F (31.5%), which reflect typical late-summer minimums when Central Park averages near 68°F. The warmer-than-average August outlook from the Climate Prediction Center has tempered expectations for sharper cooling, while recent model runs show only modest day-to-day variability ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,519Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from NOAA and private models point to an overnight low of 68–72°F in New York City on August 16, driven by mild southwesterly flow, limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, and the absence of a strong frontal passage. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting on 70–71°F (49.5%) and 72–73°F (31.5%), which reflect typical late-summer minimums when Central Park averages near 68°F. The warmer-than-average August outlook from the Climate Prediction Center has tempered expectations for sharper cooling, while recent model runs show only modest day-to-day variability ahead of the overnight period.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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