Trader consensus centers on persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate easterly flow from the Yellow Sea moderating Seoul-Incheon highs below the Korea Meteorological Administration's 30°C forecast for August 16. Afternoon convection and sea-breeze effects are expected to cap readings, favoring the leading 28°C outcome while allowing limited clearing for a possible 29°C peak. Model runs show high precipitation probabilities (60-70%) and humidity suppressing full insolation, aligning with late-summer climatology where such patterns historically trim maxima by 1-2°C. Recent heatwave subsidence and ongoing moisture influx further tilt sentiment toward the tightly clustered 27-30°C bins rather than higher thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 16?
28°C 32%
29°C 25%
27°C 19%
30°C 13%
$28,272 Vol.
$28,272 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
8%
27°C
19%
28°C
32%
29°C
25%
30°C
13%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
2%
28°C 32%
29°C 25%
27°C 19%
30°C 13%
$28,272 Vol.
$28,272 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
8%
27°C
19%
28°C
32%
29°C
25%
30°C
13%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate easterly flow from the Yellow Sea moderating Seoul-Incheon highs below the Korea Meteorological Administration's 30°C forecast for August 16. Afternoon convection and sea-breeze effects are expected to cap readings, favoring the leading 28°C outcome while allowing limited clearing for a possible 29°C peak. Model runs show high precipitation probabilities (60-70%) and humidity suppressing full insolation, aligning with late-summer climatology where such patterns historically trim maxima by 1-2°C. Recent heatwave subsidence and ongoing moisture influx further tilt sentiment toward the tightly clustered 27-30°C bins rather than higher thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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