Traders are assigning the highest implied probabilities to minimum temperatures of 27–28°C in Hong Kong on August 17 because current ensemble forecasts show stable subtropical high pressure and light winds that limit overnight radiative cooling under typical August humidity levels near 80%. Seasonal baselines from the Hong Kong Observatory place mid-August lows around 26–28°C, with small shifts in cloud cover, moisture advection from the South China Sea, or weak frontal influences able to tip readings one degree lower. Any strengthening of the monsoon trough or increased precipitation could enhance cooling enough to favor the 26°C outcome. Updated model runs and official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory expected within 48 hours will provide the next key data points for market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 17?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 17?
28°C 46%
27°C 31%
26°C 24%
29°C 19%
BARU
BARU
Aug 17, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
6%
26°C
24%
27°C
31%
28°C
37%
29°C
19%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 46%
27°C 31%
26°C 24%
29°C 19%
BARU
BARU
Aug 17, 2026
23°C or below
$27 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$86 Vol.
6%
26°C
$52 Vol.
24%
27°C
$13 Vol.
31%
28°C
$40 Vol.
37%
29°C
$2 Vol.
19%
30°C
$6 Vol.
3%
31°C
$10 Vol.
1%
32°C
$491 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$941 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders are assigning the highest implied probabilities to minimum temperatures of 27–28°C in Hong Kong on August 17 because current ensemble forecasts show stable subtropical high pressure and light winds that limit overnight radiative cooling under typical August humidity levels near 80%. Seasonal baselines from the Hong Kong Observatory place mid-August lows around 26–28°C, with small shifts in cloud cover, moisture advection from the South China Sea, or weak frontal influences able to tip readings one degree lower. Any strengthening of the monsoon trough or increased precipitation could enhance cooling enough to favor the 26°C outcome. Updated model runs and official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory expected within 48 hours will provide the next key data points for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$1,683Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders are assigning the highest implied probabilities to minimum temperatures of 27–28°C in Hong Kong on August 17 because current ensemble forecasts show stable subtropical high pressure and light winds that limit overnight radiative cooling under typical August humidity levels near 80%. Seasonal baselines from the Hong Kong Observatory place mid-August lows around 26–28°C, with small shifts in cloud cover, moisture advection from the South China Sea, or weak frontal influences able to tip readings one degree lower. Any strengthening of the monsoon trough or increased precipitation could enhance cooling enough to favor the 26°C outcome. Updated model runs and official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory expected within 48 hours will provide the next key data points for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,683Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are assigning the highest implied probabilities to minimum temperatures of 27–28°C in Hong Kong on August 17 because current ensemble forecasts show stable subtropical high pressure and light winds that limit overnight radiative cooling under typical August humidity levels near 80%. Seasonal baselines from the Hong Kong Observatory place mid-August lows around 26–28°C, with small shifts in cloud cover, moisture advection from the South China Sea, or weak frontal influences able to tip readings one degree lower. Any strengthening of the monsoon trough or increased precipitation could enhance cooling enough to favor the 26°C outcome. Updated model runs and official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory expected within 48 hours will provide the next key data points for market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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